通讯员 据3月1日FX Empire报道,石油上涨还是下降?基本面是否强劲到足以保证再次突破上限,还是会在短期内回调到一个价格区间。
在3月4日欧佩克+计划小幅增加产量的计划决定之前,市场可能会进行区间交易。同时还要考虑市场对之前关闭的德州炼油厂增加产量的反应。
此外,增长的美国国债收益率,使美元走强,可能会抑制对以美元计价的原油的需求。俄罗斯可能要求欧佩克+加大力度,以缓解供应削减的可能性。
王佳晶 摘译自 FX Empire
原文如下:
Short-Term Outlook
Buy strength or Buy Weakness? That is the question. Are the fundamentals strong enough to warrant another breakout to the upside, or are we due for a short-term pullback into a value area?
The questions suggest we may be due for a rangebound trade until the market works out issues with OPEC+’s plan to slightly increase output when it meets on March 4. We also want to see how the market responds to the increase in production from the previously shutdown Texas refineries.
Furthermore, a couple of wildcards have entered the picture. They are rising Treasury yields that are driving up the U.S. Dollar and could dampen demand for dollar-denominated crude. And the possibility that Russia may ask for a bigger increase in OPEC+’s attempt to ease supply cuts.