据能源新闻2月27日新闻消息称，荷兰皇家壳牌公司在其年度液化天然气市场展望中表示，到2040年，全球液化天然气(LNG)需求预计将翻一番，达到7亿吨。
去年的需求为3.6亿吨，略高于2019年的3.58亿吨，尽管冠状病毒大流行期间的封锁造成了波动。
壳牌表示，全球液化天然气价格在2020年初达到创纪录低点，但在年末收于六年高位。原因是亚洲部分地区的需求复苏，以及供应紧张导致冬季采购增加。
预计到2040年，亚洲将拉动近75%的液化天然气需求增长，原因是国内天然气产量下降，以及液化天然气替代了排放更高的能源。
中国到2060年实现碳中和的目标，预计将继续推高其液化天然气需求。
《展望》显示，随着投产的新产量低于此前预期，供需缺口预计将在本十年中叶出现。
2020年公布的液化天然气新产能只有300万吨，低于预期的6000万吨。
朱佳妮 摘译自 能源新闻
原文如下：
Global LNG demand expected to almost double by 2040 –Shell
Global liquefied natural gas (LNG) demand is expected to almost double to 700 million tonnes by 2040, Royal Dutch Shell said in its annual LNG market outlook.
Demand was 360 million tonnes last year, up slightly from 2019's 358 million tonnes, despite volatility caused by lockdowns during the coronavirus pandemic.
Global LNG prices hit a record low early in 2020 but ended the year at a six-year high as demand in parts of Asia recovered and winter buying increased amid tightened supply, Shell said.
Asia is expected to drive nearly 75% of LNG demand growth to 2040 as domestic gas production declines and LNG substitutes higher emission energy sources.
A gap between supply and demand is expected to open in the middle of this decade with less new production coming on stream than previously projected, the outlook showed.
only 3 million tonnes of new LNG production capacity was announced in 2020, down from an expected 60 million tonnes.
