据石油新闻2月23日伦敦报道，多位业内资深分析师2月23日在伦敦表示，受汽油、柴油和燃料油需求强劲反弹的推动，全球石油需求预计到今年年底前将恢复到新冠肺炎疫情爆发前的大约1亿桶/天的水平。
但分析师们补充说，过去占全球总需求8%左右的航空/煤油的需求今年可能仍然非常低迷，航空燃料需求要到2022年甚至2023年才能达到疫情爆发前的水平。
这是维多集团全球研究主管Giovanni Serio在彭博社举办的网络研讨会上发表上述讲话的。
Serio表示，到今年年底前，全球石油日需求量可能达到1亿桶的惊人数字，不过这在很大程度上要取决于疫苗接种的推广，预计今年夏天疫苗接种的推广速度将加快。
Serio表示，支撑这一预测的是制造业活动的弹性，今年全球制造业活动将继续反弹。
李峻 编译自 石油新闻
原文如下：
Global oil demand likely to rebound to pre-COVID levels by end-2021: analysts
Global oil demand is expected to recover to pre-COVID-19 levels of around 100 million b/d by the end of the year driven by a strong rebound for gasoline, diesel and fuel oil, several analysts said Feb 23.
But jet/kerosene, which used to account for around 8% of total global demand, is likely to remain very sluggish, and the aviation fuel will reach pre-crisis levels only in 2022 or even 2023, they added.
Speaking at a webinar hosted by Bloomberg, Giovanni Serio, Vitol's Global Head of Research said oil demand could reach the magic number of 100 million b/d by the year-end though this will depend heavily on the vaccination rollout which is expected to gather pace this summer.
Serio said the guidance behind this was supported by resilient manufacturing activity which will continue to rebound.
