据能源世界网2月19日报道，据挪威国家统计局（SSB）的调查显示，挪威的油气公司在最近几个月中增加了2021年的投资计划，但较去年仍有所减少，并减少2022年的支出。
SSB周三表示，预计2022年挪威油气行业的投资将达到163亿美元。这比2020年第一季度对2021年的估计值低8.9％。
2022年所示减少的主要原因是油田开发的估计数偏低。油田的估计数比2021年的相应估计数低14%。该下降与2021年或2022年初完成更多开发有关。
一些开发和运营计划(PDO)预计将在2021年提交给政府。其中包括南克里斯汀(Kristin South)、Frosk、Kobra East/Gekko和Tommeliten Alpha。
此外，预计PDO将到明年交付许多项目。这很可能与挪威去年6月通过的一揽子税收措施有关。这些措施为所有在2023年1月1日之前提交的PDO的开发投资提供了优惠税收。
由于在开发的第一年，对项目的投资往往不大。这些项目大多计划在2022年末启动，因此2022年的投资水平将相对较低。
2021年的预估上调
SSB补充道，2021年，挪威油气活动的总投资估计为205亿美元。这比上一季度的估计高出4.4％。
这一类别的增加部分是由于一些项目的投资从2020年转移到2021年。此外，原本计划在2022年进行的一些投资现在已经提前到2021年。从2022年到2021年的加速投资计划也可能与政府税收措施有关。
2020年投资小幅增长
2020年，油气投资总额为212亿美元。这仅比2019年的最终投资高出1％。去年，对生产中油田，关闭和拆除的投资增加促进了增长，而勘探和油田开发的投资减少则抑制了增长。
根据SSB的初步数据显示，从2019年到2020年，该行业的投资价格上涨了6.1％。尽管该调查显示以现值计算的投资增长很小，但实际投资活动从2019年到2020年有所下降。
SSB提醒道，从2020年3月初起，石油公司直接受到挪威感染控制措施的影响，并间接受到导致油价大幅下跌的全球新冠疫情措施的影响。
一些钻机和平台上的感染控制措施和暴发导致经季节性调整的投资从第一季度至第二季度下降8.6%。
去年第四季度投资增加
2020年第四季度的最终投资为55亿美元。这比上一季度的估计值低6.4％，但比未经调整的第三季度的投资高8.1％。从第三季度到第四季度的季节性调整增幅为4.1%。
郝芬 译自 能源世界网
原文如下:
Norway: Oil firms increase 2021 spending plans. Decline set for 2022
Oil and gas companies in Norway have increased their 2021 investment plans in recent months, but still plan to spend less than last year and to reduce spending in 2022, the national statistics office (SSB) survey said.
SSB said on Wednesday that investments in the oil and gas industry of Norway for 2022 were estimated at $16.3 billion. This is 8.9 per cent lower than the estimate given for 2021 in the first quarter of 2020.
The indicated decrease in 2022 is mainly due to low estimates in field development. The estimate in field development is 14 per cent lower than the corresponding estimate for 2021. The decline is related to more developments being completed in 2021 or early in 2022.
Some plans for development and operation (PDOs) are expected to be submitted to the government during 2021. Among these are Kristin South, Frosk, Kobra East/Gekko, and Tommeliten Alpha.
Furthermore, it is also expected that PDOs will be delivered on many projects by next year. This is most likely related to a tax measures package Norway adopted in June last year. The measures provide favourable taxation for all development investments with PDOs submitted before 1 January 2023.
Since investments in projects tend to be modest in the first year of development. Most of these projects are planned to start up in late 2022 so there will be a relatively low level of investments in 2022.
Estimate for 2021 upward adjusted
SSB added that total investments in Norway’s oil and gas activity in 2021 were estimated at $20.5 billion. This is 4.4 per cent higher than estimated in the previous quarter.
The increase for this category is partly due to shifts in investments from 2020 to 2021 on some projects. Also, some investments that were previously planned to be made in 2022 have now been accelerated to 2021. The accelerated investment plans from 2022 to 2021 may also be related to government tax measures.
Small investment growth in 2020
Total investments in oil and gas for 2020 were $21.2 billion. This is only one per cent higher than final investments in 2019. It was increased investments in the categories of fields on streams and shutdown and removal that contributed to growth last year, while lower investments in exploration and field development contributed to curbing growth.
According to preliminary figures from SSB, investment prices in the industry increased by 6.1 per cent from 2019 to 2020. Although this survey shows a small investment growth in current value, the real investment activity has fallen from 2019 to 2020.
SSB reminded that oil companies were affected by the corona pandemic from early March 2020 directly through Norwegian infection control measures and indirectly through global corona measures leading to a sharp fall in oil prices.
Infection control measures and outbreaks on some rigs and platforms contributed to a seasonally adjusted fall in investments of 8.6 per cent from the first quarter to the second quarter.
Higher investments in fourth quarter
The final investments in the fourth quarter of 2020 came to $5.5 billion. This is 6.4 per cent lower than estimated in the previous quarter, but 8.1 per cent higher than the investments in the third quarter, unadjusted. The seasonally adjusted increase from the third quarter to the fourth quarter was 4.1 per cent.
