据路透社2月6日报道，受经济复苏的乐观预期以及欧佩克及其盟友限制供应的推动，油价周五上涨约1%，一度触及一年来最高水平，逼近每桶60美元。
因有迹象显示更多经济刺激措施取得进展，美国股市触及纪录高位，油价也受到支撑，同时美国就业报告证实就业市场正在企稳。
布伦特原油价格上涨50美分，至每桶59.34美元，涨幅0.9%，此前曾触及2020年2月20日以来的最高水平，至每桶59.79美元。美国原油期货结算价上涨62美分，至每桶56.85美元，涨幅1.1%，此前一度达到每桶57.29美元，为2020年1月22日以来的最高水平。
美国原油期货本周上涨约9%，创下去年10月以来的最大涨幅，部分原因是美国原油库存降至2020年3月份的水平。纽约OANDA高级市场分析师Edward Moya表示，"由于欧佩克+成功缓解了多数供应方面的担忧，且全球对疫情的乐观情绪有所改善，布伦特原油正将目标聚焦每桶60美元水准。原油基本面依然稳固，但考虑到近期的上涨，油价似乎有可能出现盘整。”
上一次布伦特原油价格达到每桶60美元时，疫情还没有蔓延开来，当时各国经济开放，对燃料的需求要高得多。疫苗的推出给需求增长带来了希望，但即使是乐观主义者，如预计2021年全年将出现供应缺口的欧佩克+也认为石油消费在2022年之前不会恢复到疫情前的水平。
Rystad能源公司石油市场负责人Bjornar Tonhaugen表示:“今天真正帮助市场的，也是我们看到的油价上涨的一个更合理的原因，再次来自沙特阿拉伯及其顶级公司沙特阿美。”
沙特阿美将3月份对西北欧的阿拉伯轻质原油官方售价（OSP）较上月上调1.40美元/桶，Tonhaugen表示，这可能表明沙特对需求前景更有信心，助长了市场看涨情绪。
在周三的一次会议上，欧佩克+坚持其供应紧缩政策。欧佩克+创纪录的减产帮助油价从去年的历史低点回升。
CMC Markets首席市场策略师迈克尔 麦卡锡(Michael McCarthy)表示:“欧佩克+减产确实起到了积极作用。”
作为未来产量的早期指标，美国石油钻井平台数量已经连续五个月上升。根据能源服务公司贝克休斯(Baker Hughes Co.)的数据，本周钻机数量增加了4台，达到299台，为5月份以来的最高水平。然而，世界最大产油国的复苏步伐缓慢。预计在2023年之前，美国原油产量不会突破2019年的纪录1225万桶/天。值得一提的是，2020年的该国产量下降了6.4%，至1147万桶/天。
王佳晶 摘译自 路透社
原文如下：
Oil rises 1%, hits highest in a year on growth hopes, OPEC+ output cuts
Oil prices rose about 1% on Friday, after hitting their highest in a year and closing in on $60 a barrel, supported by economic revival hopes and supply curbs by producer group OPEC and its allies.
Oil was also supported as U.S. stock markets hit record highs on signs of progress toward more economic stimulus, while a U.S. jobs report confirmed the labor market was stabilizing.
Brent crude ended the session up 50 cents, or 0.9%, at $59.34 after hitting its highest since Feb. 20 at $59.79. U.S. crude settled up 62 cents, or 1.1%, at $56.85, after reaching $57.29, its highest since Jan. 22 last year.
U.S. crude futures gained about 9% this week, the biggest percentage gain since October, in part due to U.S. inventories last week dropping to levels last seen in March.
“Brent is eyeing the $60 level now that OPEC+ has successfully eased most supply side concerns and optimism on the COVID front improves globally,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York.
“The fundamentals remain solid for crude, but a consolidation seems likely given the recent runup.”
The last time Brent traded at $60 a barrel, the pandemic had yet to take hold, economies were open and demand for fuel was much higher.
The rollout of COVID-19 vaccines has fed hopes of demand growth, but even optimists, such as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries which expects a market deficit throughout 2021, do not expect oil consumption to return to pre-pandemic levels until 2022.
“What is really helping the market today, and is a more valid reason for the price rise we see, once again comes from Saudi Arabia and its top firm, Aramco,” said Rystad Energy’s head of oil markets Bjornar Tonhaugen.
Aramco raised its Arab Light official selling price (OSP) to Northwest Europe for March by $1.40 a barrel from the previous month. This could signal Saudi Arabia is more confident in the demand outlook, feeding bullish sentiment, Tonhaugen said.
OPEC and allies, collectively known as OPEC+, stuck to their supply tightening policy at a meeting on Wednesday. Record OPEC+ cuts have helped lift prices from historic lows last year.
“OPEC+ discipline has been a real positive,” said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets.
The U.S. oil rig count, an early indicator of future output, has risen for five straight months. This week, the number of rigs rose by four to 299, the highest since May, according to energy services firm Baker Hughes Co.
The pace of recovery in the world’s top producer, however, is slow. The government this week projected U.S. crude output will not to top its 2019 record of 12.25 million barrels per day until 2023. Production in 2020 tumbled 6.4% to 11.47 million bpd.
