据今日油价网站2月3日消息 美国能源信息署（EIA）在其备受期待的年度能源展望（AEO2021）中表示，美国石油产量在2020年大幅下降，但预计将在短短两年内回升，甚至创下新纪录。
EIA表示，美国石油产量将在2023年超过2019年达到的1225万桶/日的年平均产量。
2020年，截至3月13日的一周内，美国石油产量已达到日均1310万桶的高位。但在8月份石油产量急剧下降，一度跌破1000万桶/日之后，疫情年份的整体年平均水平要低得多。
然而，美国的能源消耗将需要数年时间才能恢复到2019年的水平，确切地说是8年。然而，EIA指出，这一预测在很大程度上取决于美国经济复苏的步伐。
根据AEO2021的数据，电力需求预计到2025年将再次恢复到2019年的水平，这一复苏速度低于美国石油产量，而美国石油产量也有出口市场可供利用。
王磊 摘译自 今日油价
原文如下：
U.S. Oil Production On Course To Hit Record Levels In 2023
U.S. oil production fell sharply in 2020, but the Energy Information Administration is expecting it to pick back up and even set new records in just two years, it said in its much-anticipated annual energy outlook (AEO2021).
According to the EIA, U.S. oil production will surpass in 2023 its previous annual average of 12.25 million barrels per day, achieved in 2019.
In 2020, U.S. oil production had reached a high of 13.1 million bpd on average for week ending March 13. But the overall annual average for the pandemic year was much lower after oil production fell sharply in August, briefly dipping below 10 million barrels per day.
U.S. energy consumption, however, will take years to return to 2019 levels—eight years to be exact. The EIA notes, however, that “that projection is highly dependent on the pace of U.S. economic recovery.”
Electricity demand, according to the AEO2021, is expected to return to 2019 levels by 2025—again, a slower recovery than U.S. oil production, which also has export markets to draw on.
