据彭博社3月4日报道，石油交易价格接近每桶61美元，交易员们正在等待周四晚些时候举行的关键的欧佩克+产量政策会议，对于该组织将为快速紧缩的市场带回多少供应，当前并没有明确的方向。
西德克萨斯中质原油(West Texas Intermediate)价格在周三上涨2.6%后下跌0.4%，周三美国燃料库存大幅下降提振了价格。一名代表说，欧佩克领导人沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯周三举行会谈，寻求在产量问题上达成共识。利雅得敦促各方谨慎行事，但莫斯科方面寻求增加供应。
在欧佩克及其盟国削减集体石油产量以推动受疫情影响的市场重新平衡之后，原油价格今年飙升。积极的供应管理帮助消耗了库存，而全球需求随着疫苗的推出而复苏。这引发了人们的普遍预期:作为全球能源市场最大的参与者，将放松能源供应限制。
欧佩克资深观察人士仍预计该组织还会增加一些产量，产量维持在当前水平的可能性很小。这场辩论涉及两方面:首先，欧佩克是否会在4月份继续提高50万桶的日产量?第二，沙特阿拉伯将如何逐步取消每天100万桶的自愿额外减产?
这次事关重大的会议召开的背景是，有一系列迹象表明石油消费正在好转。最近的数据显示，随着各州重新开放，美国的通勤正慢慢恢复正常，而人们待在家里的比率降至11月12日以来的最低水平。
王佳晶 摘译自 彭博社
原文如下：
Oil Market Counts Down to Critical OPEC+ Meet With WTI Near $61
Oil traded near $61 a barrel as traders waited for a critical OPEC+ production-setting meeting later Thursday with no clear steer as to how much supply the cartel will bring back to a fast-tightening market.
West Texas Intermediate fell 0.4% after rising 2.6% Wednesday, when prices got a lift from a slump in U.S. fuel inventories. Group leaders Saudi Arabia and Russia held talks Wednesday seeking common ground on output as Riyadh urges caution but Moscow seeks to raise supply, according to a delegate.
Crude has surged this year after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies slashed collective output to drive a rebalancing of the pandemic-roiled market. The aggressive supply management has helped to drain inventories, while worldwide demand recovers with the roll-out of vaccines. That’s spurred widespread expectations that the single largest actor in the global energy market will now loosen the taps.
Veteran OPEC-watchers still expect some extra barrels from the group, and there’s little chance output will be held at current levels. There are two elements to its debate: first, will the cartel proceed with a 500,000 barrel-a-day collective output hike in April? And second, how will Saudi Arabia phase out the extra cut of 1 million barrels a day it’s been making voluntarily?
The backdrop to the high-stakes meeting is a steady procession of indicators that oil consumption is on the mend. Among recent figures, data showed U.S. commutes are slowly returning to normal as states reopen, while the rate at which people are staying home fell to the lowest since Nov. 12.
