据3月10日路透社报道，油价周二跌至每桶68美元左右，盘中波动剧烈，因对沙特阿拉伯供应中断的担忧减弱，这与美元涨势暂停以及欧佩克+产量限制导致供应紧张的前景形成对抗。
周一，原油价格达到了新冠肺炎疫情开始以来的最高水平，一天前，也门胡塞武装向沙特油田发射了无人机和导弹。然而，随着供应担忧缓解，油价开始下滑。
布伦特原油期货结算价下跌72美分，至每桶67.52美元，跌幅1.06%。该合同在交易价格每桶69.33美元有所回落。它周一达到了71.38美元/桶，是自2020年1月8日以来的最高水平。
美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)下跌1.04美元，至每桶64.01美元，跌幅1.6%。周一，该合约触及2018年10月以来的最高水平。在结算后的交易中，美国原油价格扩大了跌幅。
交易消息人士引用美国石油协会结算后公布的数据称，美国原油库存最近一周大幅上升。本周原油库存增加了1280万桶。今年3月至3月5日，路透调查中分析师的预期为81.6万桶。
Price Futures group高级分析师菲尔?弗林在API数据发布后表示：“这更像是炼油厂仍在关闭。”上周美国库存创纪录的下降是在墨西哥湾沿岸炼油厂因德克萨斯州最近的冬季风暴而关闭之后发生的。
Flynn说：“市场似乎对这些担忧有所减弱。它经历了令人难以置信的上涨，现在是回调的时候了。”
EIA在月度报告中表示，目前预计2021年美国原油日产量将减少16万桶至1115万桶，降幅小于此前预估的29万桶/日。
石油输出国组织(OPEC)和俄罗斯及其盟友周四决定普遍坚持减产，推动油价反弹。里斯塔德能源公司的比约纳?通哈根表示:“我们建议保持谨慎，因为价格当然不会永远上涨。当美国每周石油库存报告发布时，一个更明确的价格方向有望很快出现。”
“跳水最近被视为购买机会”，经纪人PVM的塔马斯·瓦尔加说：“上周的欧佩克+会议将确保全球石油平衡在可预见的未来变得更加紧张。”分析师称，美元走强往往会抑制投资者对大宗商品的需求，这对石油造成了压力。 美元从3月1日至2月的高点回落。
冯于荣 摘译自 路透社
原文如下：
Oil slips below $68 as rally fizzles before U.S. supply report
Oil fell to around $68 a barrel on Tuesday in a choppy session, pressured as concerns faded of a supply disruption in Saudi Arabia, which countered a pause in the dollar’s rally and prospects for tighter supply due to OPEC+ output curbs.
On Monday, crude hit its highest level since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, a day after Yemen’s Houthi forces fired drones and missiles at Saudi oil sites. Saudi Arabia said it thwarted the strike, however, and prices slipped as supply fears eased.
Brent crude settled down 72 cents, or 1.06%, at $67.52 a barrel. The contract pulled back after trading as high as $69.33. It reached $71.38 on Monday, the highest since Jan. 8, 2020.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell $1.04, or 1.6% to settle at $64.01 a barrel. The contract hit its highest on Monday since October 2018.
In post-settlement trade, U.S. crude extended losses. U.S. crude oil stockpiles rose sharply in the most recent week, according to trading sources, citing data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute released after settlement.
Crude inventories rose by 12.8 million barrels in the week
to March 5, compared with analysts’ expectations in a Reuters poll for a build of 816,000 barrels, sources said. [L1N2L72S5]
“This is more of the same as refineries remain shut down,” said Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures group, speaking after the API data was released.
Last week’s record decline in U.S. inventories came after the shutdown of Gulf Coast refineries due to the recent winter storm in Texas.
“The market seems to be softening on those concerns. It’s had an incredible run, and it’s due for a correction,” Flynn said.
Official figures from the EIA are expected Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. ET.
In a monthly report, the EIA said it now expects U.S. crude oil production to decline by 160,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2021 to 11.15 million bpd, a smaller decline than its previous forecast of a 290,000-bpd drop. [L1N2L71PL]
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) plus Russia and allies, a group known as OPEC+, decided on Thursday to broadly stick to output cuts, fueling a rally.
“Caution is advised as prices are, of course, not going to rise forever,” said Bjornar Tonhaugen of Rystad Energy. “A more definite price direction is expected soon, when the U.S. weekly oil inventory reports” are released.
“Dips have been lately viewed as buying opportunities,” said Tamas Varga of broker PVM. “Last week’s OPEC+ meeting will ensure that the global oil balance will get tighter in the foreseeable future.”
A stronger U.S. dollar, which tends to crimp investor demand for commodities, has weighed on oil, analysts said. The dollar eased from a 3-1/2-month high reached earlier.
