据3月10日Hart Energy报道,美国能源信息署(EIA)估计,美国2月份的原油产量较1月份减少了50万桶/天,这主要是由于严寒天气使美国大部分地区受到影响,尤其是德克萨斯州。
EIA于 3月9日表示,预计2021年美国原油产量将减少16万桶/天,至1115万桶/天,降幅小于此前预测的29万桶/天。预计2021年美国石油和其他液体燃料消费量将增加141万桶/天,至1953万桶/天,增幅与此前预测相同。
油价已从2020年触及的低点反弹。3月,欧佩克+同意在4月份不增加供应,因为他们在等待受到疫情影响的需求出现更实质性的复苏。
根据能源服务公司贝克休斯(Baker Hughes Co.)的最新报告,随着原油价格反弹,美国钻机数量也开始攀升,上周钻机数量增加1个,达到310个,为5月份以来的最高水平。
EIA估计,2月份美国原油产量平均为1040万桶/天,比1月份的估计产量减少了50万桶/天。
随着新冠肺炎疫苗在全球推广,需求前景也在改善,这推高了油价。
EIA预测,2021年全球石油和液体燃料的平均消费量将达到9750万桶/天,比2020年增加530万桶/天。该机构预测,到2022年,石油消费量将再增加380万桶/天,达到平均1.013亿桶/天。
王佳晶 摘译自 Hart Energy
原文如下:
US Crude Oil Production in 2021 to Decline Less Than Previously Forecast: EIA
The EIA estimated that U.S. crude oil production in February was down 500,000 bbl/d from estimated January production, mostly due to the cold temperatures that affected much of the country, particularly Texas.
U.S. crude oil production is expected to fall by 160,000 bbl/d in 2021 to 11.15 million bbl/d, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on March 9, a smaller decline than its previous monthly forecast for a 290,000-bbl/d drop.
The agency said it expects U.S. petroleum and other liquid fuel consumption to rise 1.41 million bbl/d to 19.53 million bbl/d in 2021, the same increase as its previous forecast.
Oil prices have rebounded from the lows touched in 2020. OPEC and its allies, a group known as OPEC+, agreed this month not to increase supply in April as they await a more substantial recovery in demand amid the coronavirus pandemic.
U.S. rig counts have also begun to climb as crude prices rebound, with oil rigs rising by one to 310 last week, their highest since May, according to the latest report by energy services firm Baker Hughes Co.
The EIA estimated that U.S. crude oil production averaged 10.4 million bbl/d in February, which is down 500,000 bbl/d from estimated January production. Most of the decline reflects the cold temperatures that affected much of the country, particularly Texas, the EIA said.
As COVID-19 vaccines are rolled out worldwide, the demand outlook is also improving, boosting oil prices.
The EIA forecast that global consumption of petroleum and liquid fuels will average 97.5 million bbl/d for all of 2021, which is up by 5.3 million bbl/d from 2020. The agency forecasts that consumption will increase by another 3.8 million bbl/d in 2022 to average 101.3 million bbl/d.