据原油价格网3月22日消息,俄罗斯政府周一批准了该国液化天然气(LNG)的长期发展计划,预计到2035年,产能将在目前的基础上增加三倍,达到每年1.4亿吨。
该方案是基于一个全面的方法,旨在实现天然气供应来源的多样化,首先是积极利用北极大陆架和远东地区的资源,"据塔斯社报道,俄罗斯总理Mishustin周一在与副总理的会议上表示。
Mishustin表示,考虑到全球LNG需求和贸易持续增长的预期,俄罗斯还将增加LNG出口作为目标。
最大的液化天然气贸易商壳牌公司上个月在其年度《2021年液化天然气展望》中表示,全球液化天然气需求将从去年的3.6亿吨增加近一倍,到2040年将达到7亿吨,这得益于亚洲的持续稳固需求,以及用于为难以电气化的行业提供动力的天然气用量增加。
俄罗斯的目标是抓住这部分不断增长的需求,其液化天然气能源战略设想到2035年在全球液化天然气市场上占有20%的市场份额。
塔斯社援引诺瓦克就LNG战略发表的评论称,副总理Alexander Novak认为,未来5至15年内,俄罗斯将迎来新的LNG项目最有利的环境。
据Wood Mackenzie的研究总监Giles Farrer称,俄罗斯的北极LNG项目将是成本最低、盈亏平衡价格最低的项目之一,与LNG出口重镇卡塔尔刚刚宣布的大型新项目并驾齐驱。
Farrer表示:"以每百万英热单位略高于4美元的长期盈亏平衡价格,它与俄罗斯的北极项目一起,正好处于全球LNG成本曲线的底部。"Farrer评论卡塔尔的LNG扩建项目时表示,该项目将把这个海湾国家的LNG产能从现在的7700万吨/年提高到2026年的1.1亿吨/年。
尹路 编译自 原油价格
原文如下:
Russia Says LNG Production Capacity Could Jump Threefold By 2035
Russia’s government approved on Monday the country’s long-term development program for liquefied natural gas (LNG), expecting production capacity to rise threefold from current levels to 140 million tons per year by 2035.
“The program is based on a comprehensive approach, aimed at diversification of gas supply sources and first of all at an active use of resources of the Arctic shelf and the Far East,” Russia’s Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin said at a meeting with deputy prime ministers on Monday, as carried by news agency TASS.
Russia is also targeting increased LNG exports, considering the expectations of sustained growth in LNG demand and trade globally, Mishustin said.
Global LNG demand is set to nearly double from 360 million tons last year to 700 million tons by 2040, thanks to continued solid demand from Asia and a rise in gas use for powering hard-to-electrify sectors, Shell, the biggest LNG trader, said in its annual LNG Outlook 2021 last month.
Russia aims to seize part of that growing demand, and its energy strategy for LNG envisages a 20-percent market share on the global LNG market by 2035.
Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak believes that Russia will see the most favorable environment for new LNG projects within the next five to 15 years, TASS quoted Novak as saying in comments on the LNG strategy.
According to Wood Mackenzie’s research director Giles Farrer, Russia’s Arctic LNG projects would have one of the lowest costs with low breakeven prices, alongside the massive new project that LNG export heavyweight Qatar has just announced.
“At a long-term breakeven price of just over $4 per million British thermal units, it’s right at the bottom of the global LNG cost curve, alongside Arctic Russian projects,” Farrer said, commenting on Qatar’s LNG expansion project, which is set to raise the Gulf country’s LNG production capacity from 77 million tons per annum (mmtpa) now to 110 mmtpa by 2026.
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