据阿纳多卢新闻3月19日新闻消息称,根据国际能源署(IEA)周二发布的月度石油报告,预计今年全球石油需求将增长6%,即550万桶/天,达到平均9650万桶/天,而2020年全球石油需求将减少870万桶/天。
受亚洲北部、欧洲和美国寒冷天气的支持,该机构重新评估了此前对第一季度石油需求的估计,对消费量的修正幅度略高。
此外,该机构表示:“更强劲的经济和疫苗部署将支持2021年下半年的增长,将石油需求缺口从2021年第一季度的480万桶/天减少到第四季度的140万桶/天。
2021年,预计亚太地区的消费量最高,为3580万桶/天,其次是美洲的3010万桶和欧洲的1390万桶。
IEA表示,由于美国石油减产,沙特额外减产100万桶,2月份全球石油供应减少200万桶,至每日9160万桶。
非欧佩克+国家在2020年减少130万桶/天之后,2021年将增加70万桶/天,并补充称,美国石油供应在2020年减少60万桶/天之后,将减少18万桶/天。
2月份欧佩克原油产量达到2475万桶/天,比上月减少76万桶/天。
非欧佩克产油国的产量也下降了近130万桶,至6172万桶/日。
朱佳妮 摘译自 阿纳多卢新闻
原文如下:
Global oil demand to surge 6% in 2021: IEA
Global oil demand is forecast to increase 6% this year, or by 5.5 million barrels per day (bpd), to an average of 96.5 million bpd, having contracted by 8.7 million bpd in 2020, according to the International Energy Agency's (IEA) monthly oil report on Tuesday.
The agency reviewed its previous first-quarter oil demand estimate, with a slighter higher revision to consumption, supported by cold weather in northern Asia, Europe and the US.
Also, the agency said, “a stronger economy and vaccine deployment will support growth in the second half of 2021, reducing the oil demand gap from 4.8 million bpd in the first quarter of 2021 to 1.4 million bpd in the fourth quarter.
In 2021, the highest consumption is forecast to be in the Asia Pacific region with 35.8 million barrels per day, followed by the Americas with 30.1 million barrels and Europe with 13.9 million barrels.
The IEA said global oil supply fell by 2 million bpd in February to 91.6 million bpd after a cold snap shut in US production while Saudi Arabia made an extra cut of 1 million bpd.
Non-OPEC+ countries will see output rise by 700,000 bpd in 2021 after a 1.3 million bpd drop in 2020, it said, adding that US oil supply is set to decline by 180,000 bpd after a fall of 600,000 bpd in 2020.
OPEC crude oil production reached 24.75 million bpd in February, recording a decrease of 760,000 bpd compared to the previous month.
Non-OPEC production also saw a draw of almost 1.3 million bpd to 61.72 million bpd.
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