据油气新闻3月25日消息称，俄罗斯液化天然气长期生产发展计划称，由于2020年的危机，2027年液化天然气(LNG)的需求可能超过其产量。
该文件说：“液化天然气市场的特点还在于潜力的增加，并宣布将实施液化天然气生产的出口项目。考虑到2020年需求增长率的收缩，预计2027年液化天然气的需求将超过产量。对于俄罗斯液化天然气生产项目来说，这是一个潜在的机会窗口，目前这些项目处于设计阶段，因此还没有做出最终的投资决定。”
考虑到能源领域的现有趋势，2040年后天然气项目可能面临天然气市场增长率的收缩和竞争的加剧。根据这份文件：“这一趋势的关键驱动力将是技术的改进，使降低替代能源的发电成本成为可能。这样的下降实际上可能会在2035年后阻止化石能源使用的增长。”
朱佳妮 摘译自 油气新闻
原文如下：
LNG demand to be above production in 2027
The demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) can outpace its production in 2027 because of the crisis year of 2020, the Russian long-term LNG production development program says.
“The liquefied natural gas market is also characterized by an increase in potential and declared for implementation export projects of LNG production. Considering the contraction of demand growth rates in 2020, the forecast demand for liquefied natural gas will be above production in 2027. This is a potential window of opportunities for Russian projects on liquefied natural gas production, which are at the design stage now and whereupon no final investment decision was made,” the document says.
Gas project may face the contraction of natural gas market growth rates and intensified competition after 2040, considering the existing trends in the energy sector. “The key driver of this trend will be improvement of technologies, making possible to reduce the generation cost for alternative energy sources. Such a decline may actually stop growth in use of fossil energy sources after 2035,” according to the document.
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