据油价网3月30日消息称,即使疫情导致的衰退最终结束,运营商也将不得不继续探索新的成本削减途径,以更好地应对未来的市场下滑。在一份调查整个石油行业采用机器人的报告中,雷斯塔能源发现,如果有行业的推动,到2030年,现有的解决方案可以取代全球成千上万的油气工作岗位,并减少数十亿美元的钻井劳动力成本。
从采用机器人技术中获益颇多的一个领域是钻井,因为它是高成本密集型的,需要在具有挑战性的环境中执行危险的任务。机器人解决方案已经成功地应用于钻井作业中,Nabors等公司走在了发展的前沿。
目前的供应商规格,表明机器人钻井系统可以将钻机所需的钻工数量减少20%至30%,雷斯塔能源估计,基于目前的工资水平,仅在美国,海上和陆上钻井人员的减少就可以节省70多亿美元的工资。
检查、维护和维修(IMR)操作也是机器人操作的理想选择,也是近年来机器人在操作人员中最受欢迎的领域。到目前为止,这主要仅限于海底IMR活动,但我们现在开始看到IMR机器人解决方案也被用于海上作业。
总体而言,雷斯塔能源认为,从理论上讲,在未来10年中,钻探、运营支持和维护等领域中至少20%的工作可以实现自动化。从一些主要石油和天然气生产国目前的员工人数来看,美国和俄罗斯可以分别减少14万和20万的员工需求。加拿大、英国和挪威可能分别削减2万至3万个工作岗位。
朱佳妮 摘译自 油价网
原文如下:
Robots Could Replace Hundreds Of Thousands Of Oil And Gas Jobs By 2030
Even when the Covid-19 downturn is finally past us, operators will have to continue exploring new avenues for cost reductions to be better equipped to withstand future market declines. In a report that looked into the adoption of robotics across the petroleum industry, Rystad Energy found that existing solutions could replace hundreds of thousands of oil and gas jobs globally and reduce drilling labor costs by several billion dollars by 2030, if there is an industry push for such a transition.
One of the segments with much to gain from the adoption of robotics is drilling, as it is highly cost-intensive and involves carrying out dangerous tasks in challenging environments. Robotic solutions have already been introduced successfully in drilling operations, with companies such as Nabors at the development forefront.
Applying current supplier specs, which suggest that robotic drilling systems can potentially reduce the number of roughnecks required on a drilling rig by 20% to 30%, Rystad Energy estimates that such a reduction in both offshore and onshore drilling crews can bring cost savings of more than $7 billion in wages in the US alone, based on present wage levels.
Inspection, maintenance and repair (IMR) operations are also ideal for robotic operations and is the segment where adoption of robotics has gained the most traction among operators in recent years. This has so far mainly been limited to subsea IMR activities, but we are now starting to see IMR robotics solutions also being used for topsides.
Overall, Rystad Energy believes that at least 20% of the jobs in segments such as drilling, operational support, and maintenance could in theory get automated in the next 10 years. Looking at the current staffing headcount of some key oil and gas producing countries, the US could reduce its staffing needs by over 140,000 employees and Russia by over 200,000 personnel. Canada, the UK, and Norway could shed between 20,000 and 30,000 jobs each.
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