据4月4日福布斯报道,上周,一家CCS智库的负责人表示,捕获和储存二氧化碳的新兴行业必须更快地扩大到石油行业的规模。
全球CCS研究所(Global CCS Institute)负责人布拉德·佩奇(Brad Page)表示:“坦率地说,我们面临着一个令人不安的现实,很难摆脱对碳捕捉和储存的需求,既要避免排放,又要成为二氧化碳去除(CDR)的重要组成部分。”
他在斯坦福大学Precourt能源研究所主办的一次研讨会上表示:“单是CDR就需要一个至少与当前油气行业规模相当的行业,但运作方式恰恰相反。值得注意的是,石油工业在许多国家已经建立了50-100多年。这是一个不小的挑战。”
石油工业每年运输约50亿吨石油和天然气。这不是它排放的二氧化碳的重量,而是它移动的石油和天然气的重量。为了实现气候目标,全世界必须每年至少从大气中去除5到100亿吨的二氧化碳。这大约是全球塑料行业每年生产的材料重量的5倍。
佩奇表示,虽然有许多减少排放的举措正在进行中——转向清洁能源、电气化交通等,但在可预见的未来,一些人类活动需要碳捕捉技术,才能实现零排放。同时,难以脱碳的行业通常需要碳铺获和存储来解决它们的排放问题:钢铁、化学品、水泥、化肥和塑料等。
全球碳铺获与封存研究所是一个国际智库,旨在加速碳铺获与封存技术的应用。全球有26个正在运行的CCS设施和40多个正在开发或暂停的CCS设施。
佩奇指出,如果所有66家公司在运营,它们每年将铺获并储存1.02亿吨二氧化碳。到2050年,产能可能要增加100倍。要实现气候目标,至少需要提前淘汰现有碳排放设施,并以巨大的规模,或每年减少数十亿吨的碳捕获和储存设施投入使用,不过,最有可能的是,两种方式的结合。
王佳晶 摘译自 福布斯
原文如下:
Carbon Capture Has To Get As Big As Oil Industry In Less Than 30 Years
The nascent industry that captures and stores carbon dioxide has to scale to the size of the oil industry much faster than oil did, the head of a CCS think tank said last week.
“We have an uncomfortable reality, quite frankly,” said Brad Page, head of the Global CCS Institute. “It’s very hard to get away from needing carbon capture and storage both to avoid emissions and also to be a significant part of carbon dioxide removal (CDR).”
“CDR alone is going to require an industry at least the size of the current oil and gas industry,” he said in a seminar hosted by the Stanford Precourt Institute for Energy, “but operating in reverse. And it’s worth remembering that (oil) industry has been built over more than 50-100 years in many countries. This is no small challenge.”
The oil industry moves about 5 gigatons of oil and gas per year. That’s not the weight of the carbon dioxide it emits, but the weight of the oil and gas it moves. To meet climate goals, the world has to remove at least that weight of carbon dioxide—5 to 10 gigatons—from the atmosphere each year, Page said.
That’s about 5 times the weight of the material produced annually by the global plastics industry.
While there are many initiatives underway to reduce emissions—switching to clean energy, electrified transportation, and a plant-based diet—some human activities will need carbon capture for the foreseeable future, Page said, in order to be emissions free.
“We have hard-to-decarbonize sectors,” he said, “and these generally need carbon capture and storage to address their emissions: steel, chemicals, cement, fertilizers and plastics as a range of examples, but again, it’s not the whole list.”
The Global CCS Institute is an international think tank seeking to accelerate the deployment of carbon capture and storage. It knows of 26 operating CCS facilities and 40 more that are either in development or suspended.
Were all 66 operating, Page said, they would collectively capture and store 102 megatons of carbon dioxide per year. Capacity may have to increase 1oo-fold by 2050, Page said.
“To achieve climate goals requires, among many other things, at least the premature retirement of existing facilities, and at an enormous scale, or many many gigatons of annual abatement of carbon capture and storage on those facilities. Or most likely, a combination of the two.”
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