据能源世界网4月7日伦敦报道,全球最大的燃料零售商荷兰皇家壳牌(Royal Dutch Shell)周三表示,预计其第一季度燃料销售将下降,或至多大致稳定,这表明在新冠疫情限制的影响下,燃料需求复苏仍然缓慢。
壳牌在交易更新中表示,一季度成品油产品销售量为370-470万桶/天,而2020年最后一季度仅低于480万桶/日。此前,该公司曾预测销售量为400万-500万桶/日。
本季度炼油厂利用率为71%-75%,而预测为73%-81%。壳牌本季度的炼油利润率已从上一季度的1.6美元提高到每桶2.6美元左右。
天然气方面,壳牌表示,预计交易业绩将“明显低于平均水平”。
壳牌预计其第一季度液化天然气(LNG)产量为780-840万吨,前一季度产量为820万吨,预计产量为800万-860万吨。
预计上游总产量将从2020年第四季度的237万桶增至240万-248万桶油当量,处于预测范围的低端。
德克萨斯州的一股极端寒流预计将使其日产量减少1万-2万桶,并使其将于4月29日公布的调整后第一季收益减少多达2亿美元。
第一季度基准原油价格上涨约24%,周三接近每桶63美元。
郝芬 译自 能源世界网
原文如下:
Shell flags likely fall in first-quarter fuel sales
Royal Dutch Shell expects its fuel sales to fall or at best be broadly steady for the first quarter, the world's biggest fuel retailer said on Wednesday, indicating fuel demand recovery has remained slow amid coronavirus restrictions.
In a trading update, Shell said it saw refined oil product sales at 3.7-4.7 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first quarter compared with just under 4.8 million bpd in the last quarter of 2020. It had previously forecast sales of 4-5 million bpd.
Refinery utilisation rates in the quarter stood at 71%-75%, compared with a forecast of 73%-81%. Shell's refining margins have improved to around $2.6 per barrel in the quarter from $1.6 in the previous quarter.
In gas, Shell said it expected trading results to be "significantly below average".
Shell sees its first-quarter liquefied natural gas (LNG) production at 7.8-8.4 million tonnes, compared with 8.2 million in the previous quarter and a forecast of 8-8.6 million tonnes.
Total upstream production was expected to rise to 2.4-2.48 million barrel of oil equivalent, at the lower end of the forecasted range, from 2.37 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.
An extreme cold snap in Texas is expected to have shrunk its output by 10,000-20,000 bpd and to shave up to $200 million from its adjusted first-quarter earnings, due to be reported on April 29.
Benchmark crude prices in the first quarter rose around 24% and were trading near $63 a barrel on Wednesday.
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