据油价网2021年4月10日休斯敦报道,挪威著名能源研究和商业情报公司雷斯塔能源公司(Rystad Energy)的一份报告显示,北美的水力压裂活动已几乎恢复到了新冠肺炎疫情大流行前的水平,今年3月,北美水力压裂开工数达到了12个月以来的最高水平。今年第一季度,美国二叠纪盆地的压裂完井数超过了维持产量所需的水平,因此,美国第二季度的石油产量肯定会上升,但今年晚些时候增幅可能会再次放缓。
Rystad Energy今年3月在北美就登记了967口已开始压裂作业井。由于过去几天的卫星数据覆盖不完整,Rystad Energy估计,如果在这个月剩下的时间里保持压裂活动的运行速度,大约有97口井的压裂作业没有被检测到。这将使3月份的最终已开始压裂作业的井数达到1064口,比2021年1月的活动水平高出约6.5%。
美国几乎所有的主要页岩盆地在今年第二季度至少都处于产量维持状态,甚至有一些连续的产量增长,就像二叠纪盆地一样。唯一的例外是巴肯地区和阿纳达科地区,这两个地区的运营商可能仍在努力应对第二季度的产量基数下降。
然而,必须指出的是,奈厄布拉勒地区3月份的压裂活动数可能被高估了。虽然水力压裂活动的增长是真实的,但当前的数值是由几个大型区块的水力压裂活动检测所驱动的。雷斯塔能源公司相信,这些地区的一些压裂作业将在3月和4月的几周内铺开。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下:
North American Fracking Activity Soars To Near Pre-Pandemic Levels
Fracking in North America has almost recovered to pre-pandemic levels, with the count of started frac jobs reaching a 12-month high in March 2021, a Rystad Energy report shows. The number of completed wells in the Permian basin during the first quarter of 2021 exceeded the required output maintenance level, so oil production is set to rise in the current quarter – but will likely slow again later in the year.
Rystad Energy has already registered 967 started frac operations in North America for March 2021. As satellite data coverage is incomplete for the past few days, we estimate that about 97 jobs are yet to be detected if the running rate of frac activity is maintained in the remainder of the month. This will bring the final count for March to about 1,064 wells – exceeding the January 2021 activity level by about 6.5%.
Nearly all major basins are positioned for at least production maintenance in the second quarter of the year, or even some sequential production growth, as is the case with the Permian. The only exceptions are the Bakken and Anadarko regions, where operators may still struggle to cope with the base decline this quarter.
It has to be mentioned, however, that the March frac count for the Niobrara may be overestimated. While the growth in fracking activity is real, the current value is driven by detection of fracking activity on several large pads. We believe that some frac operations on these pads will in reality be spread out across several weeks during March and April.
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