据能源经济4月21日新闻消息称，国际能源署(IEA)在一份报告中表示，2021年全球能源需求将增长4.6%，超过2020年4%的萎缩，并将需求推高至2019年水平以上。
需求复苏还将使2021年与能源相关的二氧化碳排放量增加近5%。IEA执行干事Fatih Birol表示:“受电力行业煤炭使用的复苏推动，全球碳排放量今年将跃升15亿吨。这真是一个可怕的信号，表明从Covid - 19危机中复苏的经济目前对我们的气候来说绝不是可持续的。”
报告称，2021年全球煤炭需求将超过2019年的水平，增长4.5%，其中逾80%的增长将集中在亚洲。
预计2021年全球石油需求将增长6.2%，但仍将比2019年水平低3%左右。受亚洲、中东和俄罗斯需求上升的推动，预计2021年天然气需求将增长3.2%。天然气需求将比2019年的水平高出1%。
到2021年，电力需求将出现10多年来最快的增长。到2021年，需求将增长4.5%，其中近80%的预期增长来自新兴市场和发展中经济体。
预计2021年可再生能源发电量将跃升8%以上，占全球总电力供应增长的一半以上。到2021年，可再生能源将占全球发电量的30%，高于2019年的不到27%。
朱佳妮 摘译自 能源经济
原文如下：
Global energy demand to increase by 4.6 per cent in 2021: IEA
Global energy demand is set to increase by 4.6 per cent in 2021, more than offsetting the 4 per cent contraction in 2020 and pushing demand above 2019 levels, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has said in a report.
A demand recovery would also boost energy-related carbon dioxide emissions by almost 5 per cent in 2021. “Global carbon emissions are set to jump by 1.5 billion tonnes this year – driven by in the resurgence of coal use in the power sector. This is a dire warning that the economic recovery from the Covid crisis is currently anything but sustainable for our climate,” said Fatih Birol, the IEA Executive Director.
Global coal demand in 2021 is set to exceed 2019 levels, rising 4.5 per cent, with more than 80 per cent of the growth concentrated in Asia, as per the report.
Global oil demand is forecast to rise 6.2 per cent in 2021 but will still stay around 3 per cent below 2019 levels. Natural gas demand is expected to grow by 3.2 per cent in 2021, driven by rising demand in Asia, the Middle East, and Russia. The gas demand would exceed 2019 levels by 1 per cent.
Electricity demand is set to register its fastest growth in more than 10 years in 2021. The demand would expand by 4.5 per cent in 2021 with almost 80 per cent of the projected increase in emerging markets and developing economies.
Electricity generation from renewables is expected to jump by over 8 per cent in 2021, accounting for more than half of the increase in overall electricity supply worldwide. Renewables would provide 30 per cent of electricity generation worldwide in 2021, up from less than 27 per cent in 2019.
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