需求预测上调 油价维持近一个月高位

   2021-04-16 互联网讯

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核心提示:   据路透社4月15日东京报道,随着主要经济体从疫情中复苏,国际能源机构(IEA)和其他机构上调了对石油需

   据路透社4月15日东京报道,随着主要经济体从疫情中复苏,国际能源机构(IEA)和其他机构上调了对石油需求的预测,期货价格此前跳涨后周四油价走低,但保持在近一个月高位。

  截至格林尼治标准时间0129,布伦特原油下跌21美分,跌幅0.3%,至每桶66.37美元,周三上涨4.6%,收于3月17日以来最高水平。

  美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货下跌25美分,跌幅0.4%,至每桶62.9美元,前一交易日上涨4.9%。

  美国能源情报署(EIA)周三表示,上周美国原油库存减少590万桶,是分析师预期的减少290万桶的两倍以上。东海岸原油库存创历史新低。

  "我们认为,随着未来几个月炼油厂运行量将大幅上升,即便考虑到看跌风险,仍会出现强劲的库存抽水,"花旗研究分析师在一份报告中表示。

  EIA报告称,作为美国燃料消费指标的汽油供应量上周增至890万桶/日,为8月以来最高水平。

  据IEA月报显示,在2020年因疫情肆虐导致需求蒸发后,全球石油供需将在今年下半年重新平衡。

  届时,生产商可能需要再增加200万桶/日的产量以满足需求。

  石油输出国组织(OPEC)本周上调了对今年全球石油需求的预测,该组织一直与包括俄罗斯在内的其他产油国同步保持供应。

  该组织表示,OPEC预计需求将比上月的预测增加7万桶/日,2021年全球需求可能增加595万桶/日。

  沈韩晔 摘译自 路透社

  原文如下:

  Oil price holds near one-month highs as demand forecasts raised

  Oil prices were lower on Thursday though holding near one-month highs after futures jumped in the previous as the International Energy Agency (IEA) and others upgraded forecasts for oil demand as major economies recover from the pandemic.

  Brent crude was down by 21 cents, or 0.3%, at $66.37 a barrel by 0129 GMT, after gaining 4.6% on Wednesday and closing at the highest since March 17.

  U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures dropped 25 cents, or 0.4%, to $62.9 a barrel, having risen 4.9% in the previous session.

  U.S. crude inventories were down by 5.9 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday, more than double analysts' expectations for a 2.9 million-barrel decline. East Coast crude stocks hit a record low.

  "We see robust stock draws even after factoring in bearish risks as refinery runs are set to rise sharply in the coming months," Citi Research analysts said in a note.

  Gasoline supplied to the market last week, an indicator of U.S. consumption of the fuel, increased to 8.9 million barrels per day (bpd), the highest since August, the EIA report said.

  Global oil demand and supply are set to be rebalanced in the second half of this year after the evaporation of demand in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic raged, according to the IEA's monthly report.

  Producers may then need to pump a further 2 million bpd to meet the demand.

  The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which has been with holding supply in tandem with other producers including Russia, this week raised its forecast for global oil demand this year.

  OPEC expects demand to rise by 70,000 bpd from last month's forecast and global demand is likely to rise by 5.95 million bpd in 2021, it said.



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