据世界石油网站4月14日消息 由于美国原油库存下降和燃料需求上升,油价创下3月下旬以来最大涨幅,为突破近一个月的价格区间提供了必要的动力。
周三纽约期货价格上涨5.3%,将价格从最近的5美元交易区间推高至3月18日以来的最高盘中水平。美国政府一份报告显示,上周国内原油库存减少589万桶,为两个月来最大降幅,使全国原油供应降至2月下旬以来的最低水平。汽油需求指数连续第七周走高。
管理着约80亿美元能源相关资产公司Tortoise投资组合经理奎恩?基利表示:“原油消耗和汽油库存小幅增加说明了整个需求复苏和库存平衡的格局,这与去年同期相比,有着天壤之别。我们看到的是,一年前需求不佳的情景与如今复苏情景之间的真实对比。”
美国需求前景更为强劲,加上亚洲大国经济的改善,促使国际能源署(IEA)上调了对今年石油消费的预测。根据国际能源署的报告,世界三大石油机构目前都提高了对2021年的需求估计。美国能源情报署和欧佩克也指出,经济前景正在改善,疫苗也在迅速推广,尤其是在美国。
PVM Oil Associates分析师斯蒂芬·布伦诺克表示:“前所未有的财政刺激和疫苗接种的结合,将为今年下半年的石油需求复苏奠定坚实的基础,库存将迎来一些大幅平仓。”
价格:
纽约时间下午12:53,西德克萨斯中质原油价格上涨3.05美元,至每桶63.23美元;
布伦特6月结算价上涨3美元,至每桶66.67美元。
吴恒磊 编译自 世界石油
原文如下:
Oil prices surge on falling U.S. crude inventory
Oil jumped the most since late March with declining U.S. crude stockpiles and rising fuel demand providing the spark needed to break out of a nearly monthlong price range.
Futures climbed as much as 5.3% in New York on Wednesday, pushing prices out of a recent $5 trading range to the highest intraday level since March 18. A U.S. government report showed domestic crude inventories fell by 5.89 million barrels last week, the biggest decline in two months, bringing nationwide supplies to the lowest since late February. A gauge for gasoline demand ticked higher for a seventh straight week.
“The crude draw and the very slight increase in gasoline inventories speaks to the whole setup of recovering demand and balancing inventories,” said Quinn Kiley, a portfolio manager at Tortoise, a firm that manages roughly $8 billion in energy-related assets. “It’s a stark difference compared to this time last year. We’re seeing the real contrast between what it looks like in a poor demand scenario a year ago versus a recovery scenario today.”
The stronger outlook for U.S. demand, along with improvements in the Asia biggest country, drove the International Energy Agency to lift its forecast for oil consumption this year. With the IEA report, the world’s three major oil agencies have now all increased their demand estimates for 2021. The U.S. Energy Information Administration and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries also pointed to an improving economic outlook and the rapid roll-out of vaccines, particularly in the U.S.
“A combination of unprecedented fiscal stimulus and vaccination campaigns will provide a solid base for the oil demand recovery in the latter half of this year,” said Stephen Brennock, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates Ltd. “The stage is set for some hefty stock draws.”
Prices:
West Texas Intermediate for May rose $3.05 to $63.23 a barrel at 12:53 p.m. in New York
Brent for June settlement gained $3 to $66.67 a barrel
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