据今日油价网站5月3日消息 彭博社援引俄罗斯能源部的数据报道，由于欧佩克+放松减产，俄罗斯上月日产量为1046万桶，较3月份增长1.9%。
俄罗斯的生产配额在4月份之前已经增加了两次，在2月和3月增加了6.5万桶/日。随后，4月份增产13万桶/日。据俄罗斯副总理Alexander Novak透露，从本月到7月，俄罗斯将进一步增加11.4万桶的日产量。
欧佩克+总共将在5-7月期间增加200万桶/日的石油产量，表明其对改善需求的信心。
塔斯社援引俄罗斯能源部的话报道称，减产是今年前四个月俄罗斯石油出口下降的原因之一。四个月期间，海外石油出货量下降了17.2%，仅4月份就下降了16.4%。
由于参与了欧佩克+协议，俄罗斯石油产量10年来首次从去年的纪录高位下滑。现在，根据能源部的说法，产量可能永远不会恢复到疫情前的水平。该部表示，这将从目前的水平得到改善，到2029年达到1110万桶/日，但随后开始下降，到2035年达到940万桶/日。
由于这些预测，俄罗斯需要在可能的时候将其石油财富货币化，或者正如俄罗斯议会能源委员会负责人今年早些时候所说：“所有能够生产的东西都应该在仍有销售需求的时候生产。”
这是能源部制定的基本情况或最有可能的情况。在最好的情况下，俄罗斯石油部预计，到2030年，俄罗斯石油产量将达到1280万桶/日的峰值，然后才开始下降。在任何一种情况下，产量的稳步下降都迫在眉睫。
王磊 摘译自 今日油价
原文如下：
Russia Boosted Oil Production In April
Russia produced 10.46 million bpd last month, up by 1.9 percent on March as OPEC+ relaxed its production cuts, Bloomberg reports, citing data from Russia's Energy Ministry.
Russia's production quota had been upped twice before April, by 65,000 bpd in February and March. It was then relaxed by 130,000 bpd for April. From this month to July, Russia will further increase its output by 114,000 bpd, according to Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak.
OPEC+ in total will increase its oil production by 2 million barrels daily between May and July, signaling its belief in improving demand.
The production cuts were among the factors that drove Russia's oil exports lower in the first four months of the year, the Energy Ministry said, as quoted by TASS. Shipments of oil abroad declined by 17.2 percent over the four-month period and by 16.4 percent in April alone.
Russia's oil production fell from record highs last year for the first time in a decade due to its participation in the OPEC+ pact. Now, according to the Energy Ministry, output may never recover to pre-pandemic levels. It will improve from current levels, the ministry said, reaching 11.1 million bpd by 2029 but then starting to decline, reaching 9.4 million bpd by 2035.
Because of these projections, Russia needs to monetize its oil wealth while it can, or, as the head of the energy committee at the Russian parliament put it earlier this year, "Everything that can be produced should be produced while there is still demand to sell it."
This is the base-case or most likely scenario developed by the Energy Ministry. In its best-case scenario, the ministry sees Russia's oil production hit a peak of 12.8 million bpd by 2030 and only then begin to decline. In either scenario, a steady decline in output is imminent.
免责声明：本网转载自其它媒体的文章，目的在于弘扬石化精神，传递更多石化信息，并不代表本网赞同其观点和对其真实性负责，在此我们谨向原作者和原媒体致以敬意。如果您认为本站文章侵犯了您的版权，请与我们联系，我们将第一时间删除。
