据石油世界期刊4月30日里约热内卢报道，巴西国家石油局勘探主管在4月28日的网络研讨会上表示，随着石油公司增加勘探活动，新冠疫情减弱，巴西国家石油局预计2021年在该国沿海钻探的勘探井数量将增加近三倍，达到19口。
在油气行业采取措施防止海上油气泄漏中断作业之后，勘探活动预计将出现上升。此外，高管们表示，冠状病毒疫苗的推出虽然缓慢，但正在加速，并将在2021年剩余时间达到临界规模。
ANP的Marina Abelha表示，我们所看到的是，公司是谨慎的，但乐观的。该机构的快速行动帮助巴西维持了针对石油行业的投资，尽管这项工作可能因新冠疫情而略微推迟到未来进行。我们预计2021年将好于2020年。
据Abelha称，ANP预计2021年将钻探45口井，其中19口将在海上钻探。 这将比2020年的16口井有所增加，其中只有5口海上井。2021年，钻井和伴随的地震调查的投资约为12亿美元，其中约5.93亿美元用于海上作业。
随着巴西继续与全球第二致命的新冠疫情作斗争，活动的增加意味着复苏。在巴西运营的石油公司加入了全球同行的行列，在2020年控制支出，保留现金，因为全球需求下降，油价不断走低。
巴西还在2020年减少了勘探面积，暂停了第17轮招标、第7轮亚盐生产共享拍卖和第二次权利转让销售。第17轮招标已被重新安排在10月7日，第二次转让权出售定于12月17日。第七次亚盐拍卖尚未重新安排。
ANP确实举行了监管机构公开土地销售的第二个周期，这是由各个石油公司表现出的兴趣触发的。 总共出售了17个区块，但只有一个海上区块，在出售过程中筹集了约1,090万美元的签约奖金。 ANP预计“开放面积”计划的第三个周期也将在2021年启动。
高管们指出，巴西推动2021年举行许可证销售是重启活动的一个重要部分，因为勘探是石油公司的命脉。拉丁美洲最大的石油和天然气生产商还面临着全球石油工业投资竞争的加剧，包括圭亚那和苏里南的邻国竞争对手。
郝芬 译自 石油世界期刊
原文如下:
Brazil's offshore wells to quadruple in 2021 -ANP
Brazil's National Petroleum Agency expects the number of exploration wells drilled off the country's coast to nearly quadruple in 2021 to 19 wells as oil companies ramp up activity and the coronavirus pandemic wanes, the regulator's superintendent for exploration said during a webinar April 28.
The expected upswing in exploration activity came after the industry implemented measures to guard against offshore outbreaks that can disrupt operations. In addition, coronavirus vaccine rollouts, while slow, are accelerating and should reach critical mass through the remainder of 2021, executives said.
"What we're seeing is that companies are cautious, but optimistic," the ANP's Marina Abelha, said. The agency's quick actions helped maintain oil industry investments targeted for Brazil although the work was likely pushed slightly into the future by the pandemic, she said.
"We expect 2021 to be better than 2020," Abelha said.
The ANP expects 45 wells to be drilled in 2021, with 19 offshore, according to Abelha. That would be up from a total of 16 wells in 2020, including just five offshore. The drilling and accompanying seismic surveys represent about $1.2 billion worth of investments in 2021, with about $593 million of that devoted to offshore work, Abelha said.
The increased activity represents a restart as Brazil continues to battle the world's second-deadliest coronavirus outbreak. Oil companies operating in Brazil joined industry colleagues around the world to rein in spending and preserve cash in 2020 as global demand cratered and dragged prices ever lower.
Brazil also reduced access to exploration acreage in 2020, suspending the 17th bid round, 7th subsalt production-sharing auction and second transfer-of-rights sale. The 17th bid round has been rescheduled for Oct. 7, while the second transfer-of-rights sale is scheduled for Dec. 17. The 7th subsalt auction has not yet been rescheduled.
The ANP did hold the second cycle of the regulator's Open Acreage sale, which is triggered by a manifestation of interest by individual oil companies. A total of 17 blocks were sold, but just one offshore, and about $10.9 million in signing bonuses were raised during the sale. The ANP expects the third cycle of the Open Acreage program to also be triggered in 2021.
Brazil's push to hold licensing sales in 2021 is an important part of restarting activity because exploration is the lifeblood of oil companies, executives noted. Latin America's biggest oil and gas producer also faces increased global competition for oil-industry investments, including neighboring rivals in Guyana and Suriname.
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