据4月29日Oil Monster消息:原油价格周三上涨逾1%,此前美国馏分油库存大幅减少,炼油商将活动增加至一年多来的最高水平,提振了全球主要石油消费国对燃料需求上升的希望。
由欧佩克及其盟友组成的欧佩克+组织周二决定坚持从5月至7月分阶段放宽石油生产限制的计划,这表明该组织对全球需求将复苏充满信心。
布伦特原油期货上涨85美分,收于每桶67.27美元,涨幅1.3%。美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货上涨92美分,收于每桶63.86美元,涨幅1.5%。
美国能源信息署(EIA)称,上周美国原油库存增加9万桶,远低于分析师预估的65.9万桶。
包括取暖油和柴油在内的馏分油库存本周减少330万桶,炼油率升至产能的85.4%,为2020年3月以来的最高水平。
瑞穗能源期货总监鲍勃·雅格表示:“在播种季节和在线卡车配送期间,柴油销量相当可观。播种季正在为馏分油市场带来奇迹。”
在欧佩克+专家本周早些时候发布的一份报告中,该组织预测2021年全球石油需求将增加600万桶/天,而去年全球石油需求因疫情大幅减少950万桶/天。
美国高盛银行表示,随着欧洲疫苗接种速度加快和旅行需求攀升,预计未来6个月石油需求将出现历史上最大增幅,达到520万桶/天。另外,5月份放松国际旅行限制将使航空燃油需求增加150万桶/天。
冯娟 摘译自 Oil Monster
原文如下:
Oil Gains More Than 1% on Fuel Demand Optimism
Crude prices rose more than 1% on Wednesday, after U.S. distillate inventories posted a large drawdown and refiners ramped up activity to the highest in over a year, boosting hopes for rising fuel demand in the world's top oil consumer.
OPEC+, comprising of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, on Tuesday decided to stick to plans for a phased easing of oil production restrictions from May to July, an indication that the group is confident that global demand will recovery.
"The market is supported by the general belief that the COVID endgame is in sight," said Tamas Varga, analyst at PVM Oil associates.
Brent crude futures gained 85 cents, or 1.3%, to settle at $67.27 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 92 cents, or 1.5%, to settle at $63.86 a barrel.
U.S. crude inventories rose by 90,000 barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration said, much smaller than analysts' forecasts for a 659,000-barrel build.
Distillate stockpiles, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, fell by 3.3 million barrels in the week, and refining rates rose to 85.4% of capacity, their highest since March 2020.
"Between planting season and online truck deliveries, you have a nice number in the diesel," said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho. "Planting season is doing wonders for the distillate market."
In a report by OPEC+ experts earlier in the week, the group forecast global oil demand in 2021 would grow by 6 million barrels per day, after demand plunged by 9.5 million bpd last year amid the pandemic.
U.S. bank Goldman Sachs said it expected the biggest jump in oil demand in history at 5.2 million bpd over the next six months, as vaccination campaigns accelerate in Europe and travel demand climbs.
Goldman said easing international travel restrictions in May would hike jet fuel demand by 1.5 million bpd.
In India, the world's third-largest oil consumer, the COVID-19 death toll surged past 200,000 and infections have climbed by more than 300,000 cases a day for a week.
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