据烃加工2021年5月11日报道，美国能源信息署(EIA)5月11日表示，今年美国原油日产量预计将减少29万桶至1102万桶，降幅高于此前预测的27万桶。
由于油价反弹，美国石油生产商的钻探活动逐渐增加，但由于投资者向企业施压，要求它们控制支出，专注于回报，所有美国的石油产量增长一直疲软。
2022年，美国石油产量预计将增加82万桶/天，至1184万桶/天，与EIA 4月的预测持平。
EIA在月度预测中表示：“由于我们预计西德克萨斯中质原原油的平均价格仍高于每桶55美元，我们预计生产商将在未来几个月开钻并完钻足够多的井，以抵消现有井产量的下降。”
EIA称，今年美国石油和其他液体燃料日消费量预计将增加139万桶，至1951万桶，此前预估为日增132万桶。
EIA预计，今年4月至9月，美国的汽油日消费量将平均接近900万桶，比去年夏天多120万桶，但比2019年夏天少近60万桶。
2022年，美国石油日消费量预计将增加102万桶至2053万桶，高于此前预计的日增98万桶。
李峻 编译自 烃加工
原文如下：
U.S. crude output to decline more than previously forecast in 2021
U.S. crude oil production is expected to fall by 290,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2021 to 11.02 million bpd, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said, a steeper decline than its previous forecast for a drop of 270,000 bpd.
U.S. oil producers have been gradually increasing drilling activity as oil prices have rebounded but output growth has been muted as investors pressure companies to rein in spending and focus on returns.
In 2022, output is expected to rise by 820,000 bpd to 11.84 million bpd, unchanged from the EIA's estimate last month.
"Because the average price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil remains above $55 per barrel in our forecast, we expect producers will drill and complete enough wells in the coming months to offset declines at existing wells," the agency said in a monthly forecast.
The EIA said it expects U.S. petroleum and other liquid fuel consumption to rise 1.39 million bpd to 19.51 million bpd in 2021, compared with a previous forecast for a rise of 1.32 million bpd.
The agency expects that gasoline consumption in the United States will average almost 9 million bpd this summer, between April and September, which is 1.2 million bpd more than last summer but almost 600,000 bpd less than summer of 2019.
For 2022, U.S. consumption is forecast to rise 1.02 million bpd to 20.53 million bpd, higher than its previous estimate for an increase of 980,000 bpd.
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