据天然气新闻2021年5月12日伦敦报道,国际能源署(IEA)5月12日预测,从第一季度到2021年底,全球石油日需求将大幅反弹大约650万桶,并表示欧佩克+团体和其他团体可能的供应增长将“远远低于”预期的需求增长。
IEA在其月度石油市场报告中还指出,经合组织发达国家拥有的石油库存正在回到“更正常”的水平。3月份的数据显示,经合组织发达国家石油库存仅比五年平均水平高出170万桶。
IEA说:“根据目前的欧佩克+生产方案,供应的增长速度将赶不上预期的需求复苏。不断扩大的供需缺口为进一步放松欧佩克+减产或更大幅度的库存削减铺平了道路。”
李峻 编译自 天然气新闻
原文如下:
IEA sees major oil demand rebound of 6.5 million b/d between Q1 and end-2021
The International Energy Agency on May 12 forecast a major rebound in oil demand of some 6.5 million b/d between the first quarter and the end of 2021, and said likely supply growth, by the OPEC+ group and others, would be "nowhere close" to the expected demand increase.
In its monthly oil market report, the IEA also noted oil stocks held by the OECD developed countries were returning to "more normal" levels, based on figures from March showing levels just 1.7 million barrels above the five-year average.
"Under the current OPEC+ production scenario, supplies won't rise fast enough to keep pace with the expected demand recovery," the IEA said. "The widening supply and demand gap paves the way for a further easing of OPEC+ supply cuts or even sharper stock draws."
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