欧佩克称IEA净零排放规划可能会加剧油价波动

   2021-06-01 互联网讯

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核心提示:据能源世界网5月21日伦敦报道,欧佩克曾表示,国际能源署(IEA)的一份报告建议,投资者不应为新石油项目提

据能源世界网5月21日伦敦报道,欧佩克曾表示,国际能源署(IEA)的一份报告建议,投资者不应为新石油项目提供资金以抑制排放,如果IEA对此采取行动,可能导致油价波动。

IEA周二表示,如果全球希望在本世纪中叶实现净零排放,投资者就不应为新的石油、天然气和煤炭供应项目提供资金。这是该机构迄今发出的最严厉的限制化石燃料的警告。

13个成员国拥有全球80%的原油储备的欧佩克,其研究部门制作了一份关于IEA报告的内部简报文件,路透社(Reuters)看到了这份文件的副本。

欧佩克的报告称,关于2021年后不需要新的油气投资的说法,与IEA的其他报告中经常表达的结论形成了鲜明对比,如果一些投资者效仿,这可能成为石油市场潜在不稳定的来源。

欧佩克还表示,IEA报告中的一种情景可能会影响企业的投资方式,并限制石油需求。产油国集团目前预测,今年石油需求将强劲复苏,并将持续增长到21世纪30年代。

欧佩克称,尽管在假设和结果方面,NZE(净零)情景过于雄心勃勃,但它肯定会影响投资决策,这可能会抑制对石油和天然气等化石燃料的需求(增长),因为许多决策者和石油与天然气公司 使用IEA的方案进行战略规划。

欧佩克进一步指出,对于许多发展中国家来说,在没有国际援助的情况下实现净零排放的途径并不明确,他们需要技术和财政支持才能实现这一目标。

欧佩克表示,如果没有更大的国际合作,到2050年全球二氧化碳排放量将不会降至零。

郝芬 译自 能源世界网

原文如下:

OPEC says IEA net-zero pathway could add to oil-price volatility

OPEC has said that an IEA report suggesting that investors should not fund new oil projects to curb emissions could lead to oil-price volatility if it is acted on.

The International Energy Agency on Tuesday said investors should not fund new oil, gas and coal supply projects if the world wants to reach net zero emissions by mid-century, in its starkest warning yet to curb fossil fuels.

The research division at the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, whose 13 members sit on 80% of the world's crude oil reserves, produced an internal briefing document on the IEA's report, a copy of which was seen by Reuters.

"The claim that no new oil and gas investments are needed post-2021 stands in stark contrast with conclusions often expressed in other IEA reports and could be the source of potential instability in oil markets if followed by some investors," OPEC's report said.

OPEC also said a scenario in the IEA's report could affect how companies invest and limit demand for oil. The producer group currently forecasts oil demand will recover strongly this year and continue rising until the 2030s.

"While the NZE (net zero) Scenario seems overly ambitious in terms of assumptions and results, it will certainly influence investment decisions, which may curb demand (growth) for fossil fuels such as oil and gas, as many policymakers and oil & gas companies use the IEA's scenarios for their strategic planning," OPEC said.

OPEC made the further point that for many developing countries, the route to net-zero emissions without international help was not clear and they would need technical and financial support to get there.

"Without greater international cooperation, global CO2 emissions will not fall to net zero by 2050," OPEC said.

 



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