据彭博社5月31日报道，欧佩克+政策会议召开前，油价上涨，交易员预计需求上升将消化欧佩克计划增加的产量以及增加的供应。
纽约原油期货价格攀升至每桶67美元以上，原油价格有望连续第二个月上涨。根据上周彭博社的一项调查显示，欧佩克+产油国们预计将在周二的会议上坚持提高产量的决定。
Emirates NBD PJSC银行石油分析师Ed Bell表示："我真的在关注欧佩克+对未来两个月之后的预估，看看他们是否对需求持续增长以及能够吸收更多原油持乐观态度。石油供需平衡显示，下半年仍将出现供应短缺，这意味着油价将维持在目前的水平。”
尽管新冠肺炎疫情在亚洲卷土重来，但美国、中国和欧洲部分地区正在推动需求强劲复苏。当前，美国汽油库存下降，消费量增加，这预示着夏季出行季节燃料需求高峰的开始。
价格方面。伦敦时间上午10:03，纽约商品交易所 7月份交割的西德克萨斯中质原油价格上涨1.1%，至每桶67.05美元，涨幅为4.3%。5月期货价格上涨5.5%。
欧洲期货交易所8月份交割的布伦特原油价格上涨1%，至每桶69.43美元。
在欧佩克+于周二召开会议时，投资者还将寻找有关该组织下一阶段供应政策的线索，因市场对需求将在年底前加速增长的乐观情绪日益增强。在接受彭博社调查的24位分析师和交易员中，只有4位预测欧佩克将批准每日增产84万桶的计划。
此外，印度周一发布的数据预计将显示，该国第一季度国内生产总值同比增长略有回升。
王佳晶 摘译自 彭博社
原文如下：
Oil exceeds US$67 as demand outweighs prospect of more OPEC+ oil
Oil advanced ahead of an OPEC+ policy meeting as traders expect rising demand to absorb a planned production increase from the group.
Futures in New York climbed past US$67 a barrel, putting crude on track for a second straight monthly gain. OPEC and its allies are expected to stick with a decision to boost output in July when the group gathers Tuesday, according to a Bloomberg survey last week. While rebounding demand is driving prices higher, the possibility of more barrels should a nuclear deal be revived is clouding the outlook.
“I’m really looking at what OPEC+ says about the period beyond the next two months and whether they indicate they’re positive about demand continuing to grow and that being able to absorb any more barrels,” said Ed Bell, an oil analyst at Dubai-based bank Emirates NBD PJSC. “Our balances still point to a deficit of supply in the second half and that points to oil being about where it is now.”
T he U.S., China and parts of Europe are driving robust demand recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, despite a virus comeback across Asia. American gasoline stockpiles have declined and consumption gained in the lead up to the Memorial Day weekend, which heralds the start of the summer driving season and peak fuel demand.
Prices
West Texas Intermediate for July delivery gained 1.1 per cent to US$67.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:03 a.m. London time after advancing 4.3 per cent last week.
Futures are up 5.5 per cent this month.
Brent for August settlement rose 1 per cent to US$69.43 on the ICE Futures Europe exchange.
There are holidays in the U.S. and U.K. on Monday.
When OPEC+ meets on Tuesday, investors will also be looking for any clues on the next stage of the group’s supply policy amid growing expectations for demand to accelerate through the end of the year. As for July, all but four of 24 analysts and traders surveyed by Bloomberg predicted the alliance would ratify a planned increase of 840,000 barrels a day.
Indian data later Monday is forecast to show the nation’s gross domestic product during the first quarter posted a slight pickup in growth year-on-year.
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