据油价网报道，高盛公司近日再次重申了其此前对布伦特原油价格的预测，即随着需求迅速复苏，布伦特原油价格将在今年夏季达到每桶80美元。
据路透社报道，高盛公司在一份报告中称：“疫苗接种率的上升导致美国和欧洲的流动性增加，5月份全球石油日需求量估计增加150万桶，达到9650万桶。”
高盛公司最初在今年3月份曾表示，布伦特原油价格预计将在今年第三季度达到80美元/桶。
然后，在4月份，高盛公司重申了自己的预测，指出“决不能低估需求量即将发生的变化，而这种变化是供给无法比拟的。”
一个月后，高盛公司分析师写道：“面对缺乏弹性的供应，疫苗驱动的需求大幅增加，因此油价上涨的理由依然存在。”
同时，欧佩克曾表示，预计今年全球石油需求将上升600万桶，而IEA预测今年将增加540万桶，明年再增加310万桶，在明年年底前回到和超过疫情前水平，达到1.006亿桶/天。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
Goldman Sachs Doubles Down On $80 Oil Prediction
Goldman Sachs has reiterated its forecast that Brent crude will hit $80 per barrel this summer as demand quickly recovers.
"Rising vaccination rates are leading to higher mobility in the U.S. and Europe, with global demand estimated up 1.5 mb/d (million barrels per day) in the last month to 96.5 mb/d," the investment bank said in a note as quoted by Reuters.
Goldman first said it expected Brent to hit $80 this year in March, expecting this to happen by the third quarter of this year.
Then, in April, the bank reiterated its forecast, noting, "The magnitude of the coming change in the volume of demand -- a change which supply cannot match -- must not be understated."
A month later, Goldman analysts wrote that "The case for higher oil prices therefore remains intact given the large vaccine-driven increase in demand in the face of inelastic supply,"
Meanwhile, OPEC has said it expected oil demand to rise by 6 million bpd this year, and the International Energy Agency forecast it would add 5.4 million bpd this year and another 3.1 million bpd next year, returning to and exceeding pre-pandemic levels to reach 100.6 million bpd by the end of 2022.
免责声明：本网转载自其它媒体的文章，目的在于弘扬石化精神，传递更多石化信息，并不代表本网赞同其观点和对其真实性负责，在此我们谨向原作者和原媒体致以敬意。如果您认为本站文章侵犯了您的版权，请与我们联系，我们将第一时间删除。
