据钻机地带6月16日消息,在行业数据显示美国原油库存大幅减少,顶级交易商预计油价将进一步上涨后,油价延续强劲反弹势头,全球基准布伦特原油价格逼近每桶75美元。
布伦特原油上涨0.7%,西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)升至2018年10月以来的最高水平。美国石油学会报告称,上周美国原油库存减少854万桶。如果周三晚些时候的政府数据得到证实,这将是自1月份以来的最大跌幅。尽管如此,汽油和馏分油的库存仍在增加。
随着主要经济体在新冠疫苗项目的帮助下继续重新开放,油价本月的涨势得到了重新提振。就在欧佩克及其盟国在增加供应方面保持谨慎之际,这也推高了全球能源需求。全球最大商品交易商嘉能可和全球最大独立石油交易商维托尔集团的高管本周都表示,他们预计油价将进一步上涨。
价格:
伦敦时间上午 7 点 15 分,ICE 欧洲期货交易所 8 月份交割的布伦特原油价格上涨 0.7%,至每桶 74.49 美元。
纽约商品交易所7月份交割的WTI原油上涨0.6%,至每桶72.55美元。
早些时候,油价升至72.83美元,为2018年10月以来的最高水平。
在美国,尽管油价上涨,但页岩油生产商今年没有大幅增加产量,抗病毒措施正在稳步撤销。周二,全球第五大经济体加州全面重新开放经济,而纽约则取消了剩余的限制。
市场的定价结构反映了整体的看涨基调,近期价格高于远期价格。布伦特原油现货价差为每桶 73 美分,高于一周前的 47 美分。即将到来的12月合同比2022年同月的价格高5.06美元。
美联储将于周三晚些时候宣布可能至关重要的政策。尽管预计美联储不会调整利率,但可能会就何时及如何缩减购债规模展开初步讨论。这方面的任何变动都可能影响美元价值和对包括石油在内的大宗商品的需求。
裘寅 编译自 钻机地带
原文如下:
Oil Marches Toward $75 as Market Tightens
Oil extended a powerful rally, with global benchmark Brent closing in on $75 a barrel, after industry data pointed to a substantial draw in U.S. crude stockpiles and top traders predicted further gains in prices.
Brent advanced 0.7%, while West Texas Intermediate climbed to the highest level since October 2018. The industry-funded American Petroleum Institute reported U.S. crude inventories fell 8.54 million barrels last week. That would be the largest drop since January if the figures are confirmed by government data later Wednesday. Still, inventories of gasoline and distillates expanded.
Oil’s rally has been reinvigorated this month as leading economies continue to reopen, aided by coronavirus vaccine programs. That’s boosting worldwide energy demand just as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies maintain a cautious approach to boosting supply. Executives from both Glencore Plc and Vitol Group said this week they see further gains in oil.
Prices:
Brent for August settlement added 0.7% to $74.49 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange at 7:15 a.m. in London.
WTI for July delivery gained 0.6% to $72.55 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Earlier, prices rose to $72.83, the highest since October 2018.
In the U.S. -- where shale producers have refrained from substantial increases in output this year even as prices march higher -- anti-virus measures are being steadily withdrawn. On Tuesday, California fully reopened its economy, the world’s fifth-largest, while New York lifted its remaining restrictions.
The market’s pricing structure reflects the overall bullish tone, with near-dated prices above those further out. Brent’s prompt timespread was 73 cents a barrel in backwardation, up from 47 cents a week ago. The upcoming December contract was $5.06 more costly than the price for the same month in 2022.
Crude’s latest upswing has come ahead of a potentially pivotal Federal Reserve policy announcement later Wednesday. While the U.S. central bank is not expected to alter interest rates, it could start preliminary discussions about when and how to scale back bond purchases.
Any moves on that front could affect the value of the dollar and demand for commodities, including oil.
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