据《能源年》6月22日伦敦报道,由于市场出现迅速收紧的迹象,周二亚洲早盘油价上涨。
截至美国东部时间下午4:41(格林威治标准时间凌晨4:41),布伦特原油期货价格上涨0.32%,至75.14美元,两年多来首次达到75美元。WTI期货价格小幅上涨0.10%,至73.19美元。
随着美国和欧洲等经济继续从疫情中复苏,布伦特原油期货今年上涨了40%以上,从而改善了燃料需求前景。
美国银行甚至预测,由于旅游业的反弹,全球原油基准价格可能在2022年达到每桶100美元。
VandaInsights创始人Vandana Hari 告诉彭博社称,需求乐观情绪现在已经确立,市场收紧是非常受关注的......如果这次反弹暂停,它很可能来自供应方面。
然而,一些国家持续爆发的疫情郑重提醒人们,燃料需求复苏仍然不平衡。
然而,对石油的整体乐观前景给石油输出国组织(OPEC)及其盟国(OPEC+)增加了压力,迫使其在下周召开会议时考虑恢复更多在疫情期间受到限制的产量。
投资者目前正在等待美国石油协会(American Petroleum Institute)当日晚些时候提供的美国原油供应。如果将于本周晚些时候公布的美国能源情报署(EIA)数据和原油供应数据出现平局,这将是连续第五周下跌。
郝芬 译自 《能源年》
原文如下:
Brent tops $75 as signs of tightening market emerge
Oil was up Tuesday morning in Asia, with signs emerging of a rapidly tightening market.
Brent oil futures were up 0.32% to $75.14 by 4:41 PM ET (4:41 AM GMT), after hitting the $75 mark for the first time in more than two years. WTI futures inched up 0.10% to $73.19.
Brent futures have rallied more than 40% this year as countries such as the US, China and Europe continue their economic recoveries from Covid-19, thus improving the fuel demand outlook.
Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:BAC) even forecast that the global crude benchmark could hit the $100 a barrel in 2022 thanks to a rebound in travel.
“Demand optimism is now well established, and a tightening of the market is very much in the spotlight… if there is a pause in this rally, it will likely come from the supply side,” Vanda (NASDAQ:VNDA) Insights founder Vandana Hari told Bloomberg.
However, ongoing Covid-19 outbreaks in several countries are a grim reminder that fuel demand recovery remains uneven.
Also dampening investor sentiment is China’s crackdown on its private refiners. The second batch of 2021 crude import quotas allocated to them was about 35% less than 2020, which could impact flows in the sector, which accounts for around a quarter of processing capacity in the world’s largest oil importer.
However, the overall bullish outlook for the black liquid is adding pressure on the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) to consider reviving more of the production curbed during Covid-19 when it meets in the following week.
Investors now await US crude oil supply from the American Petroleum Institute, due later in the day. Should the data and crude oil supply data from the US Energy Information Administration, due later in the week, show a draw, it would be a fifth weekly decline.
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