据6月24日Rigzone消息:油价小幅上涨,突破每桶73美元,因美国库存下降加剧了对全球需求复苏的乐观情绪。
上周美国汽油库存意外下降,而全国原油供应连续第五周下降,为1月份以来最长时间。
不过,油价近期可能面临一些动荡,有一项技术指标显示,油价可能已经攀升得过高、过快。原油在14日相对强弱指数上徘徊于超买区域。
随着全球范围内开展疫苗接种,复苏速度加快,增加了燃料消耗,并帮助消耗了疫情高峰期间建立的库存。欧佩克+联盟计划在下周末召开会议,讨论8月份的产量政策,一些国家正在考虑支持增产。
新加坡DailyFX策略师Margaret Yang称,"市场紧缩似乎足以抵消欧佩克+产量的上升。该联盟的任何产出增长“应该是非常缓慢和渐进的”。
价格
纽约商品交易所8月交货的西德克萨斯中质原油价格周三小幅上涨,至每桶73.39美元,上涨0.4%。
欧洲洲际交易所8月结算的布伦特原油价格上涨0.4%,至每桶75.50美元,周三上涨0.5%,收于2018年10月以来的最高水平。
布伦特原油现货价差为每桶71美分,这是一种看涨结构,即近期合约比后期合约更贵。相比之下,本周初为85美分。
美国能源信息署周三公布的数据显示,上周美国原油库存减少760万桶,而库欣原油库存则连续第二周下降。与彭博社调查预测的增长相比,汽油供应减少了290万桶。
报告称,去年同期,美国190个码头的库存约为9.73亿桶。
冯娟 摘译自 Rigzone
原文如下:
Oil Up with Shrinking Stockpiles Tightening Market
Oil edged higher above $73 a barrel as falling stockpiles in the U.S. and China added to bullish sentiment around the global demand recovery.
Gasoline inventories in the U.S. unexpectedly fell last week, while nationwide crude supplies dropped for a fifth week, the longest run since January.
Oil may be facing some near-term turbulence, however, with one technical indicator signaling that prices may have climbed too far, too fast. Crude is flirting with overbought territory on the 14-day Relative Strength Index.
The recovery has accelerated as vaccinations are rolled out worldwide, boosting fuel consumption and helping to drain stockpiles that were built up during the height of the pandemic. The OPEC+ alliance is scheduled to meet toward the end of next week to discuss its production policy for August and some nations are considering backing an output increase.
“A tightening market seems to be more than enough to offset a hike in OPEC+ production,” Margaret Yang, a strategist at DailyFX in Singapore. Any output increase from the alliance “should be very slow and gradual,” she added.
Meanwhile, U.S. negotiators are preparing to return to a seventh round of indirect talks with Iran on reviving a nuclear deal. A rejuvenated agreement may lead to the lifting of sanctions on Tehran and increased crude flows, although progress has been slow and complicated so far.
Prices
West Texas Intermediate for August delivery rose 0.4% to $73.39 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 7:25 a.m. in London after inching higher on Wednesday.
Brent for August settlement gained 0.4% to $75.50 on the ICE Futures Europe exchange after increasing 0.5% on Wednesday to close at the highest level since October 2018.
The prompt timespread for Brent was 71 cents a barrel in backwardation -- a bullish structure where near-dated contracts are more expensive than later-dated ones. That compares with 85 cents at the start of the week.
U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 7.6 million barrels last week, while inventories at the storage hub of Cushing dropped for a second week, according to data from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday. Gasoline supplies shrunk by 2.9 million barrels, compared with a forecast gain in a Bloomberg survey.
Stockpiles at the nation’s 190 terminals were at about 973 million barrels at this time last year, it said.
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