据6月30日Neftegaz.RU消息：自本月初以来，俄罗斯原油和凝析油产量约为1042万桶/天，低于5月份1045万桶/天的平均水平。
其他未透露姓名的消息人士对路透表示，产量下降的原因可能与老油田增产困难有关。
早在去年，欧佩克+就曾讨论过这种困难，当时欧佩克同意减少约770万桶/天的产量，以应对疫情造成的需求破坏。
石油行业高管Evgeny Kolesnik在2020年5月接受彭博社采访时表示：
在俄罗斯的气候条件下，油井的大规模封闭比短期闲置严重得多；
到目前为止，还不能确定，在关闭油井这么长时间后，它会像以前一样产出相同的水平。
报告指出，最初，当俄罗斯与欧佩克成员国一起努力控制产量时，其石油公司削减的产量相对较少，速度缓慢，仅持续几个月。
到2020年，这些公司被要求削减的幅度更大、速度更快，削减的时间也要更长。
如此长时间的停产，有些井可能永远无法重启。
油井闲置的时间越长，压力变化的可能性就越大，同时含水量的变化也会导致油井再次无法使用。
欧佩克+将于本周晚些时候召开会议，讨论其产量控制协议的下一步措施。
早期报道称，为了应对需求的快速反弹，该组织正在考虑从8月开始增加供应。
冯娟 摘译自 Neftegaz.RU
原文如下：
Russia is struggling to boost oil production
According to these sources, Russia has been producing some 10.42 million bpd of crude oil and condensates since the start of the month, which is lower than May’s average of 10.45 million bpd.
The reason for the decline could be related to difficulties with boosting production at older fields, other sources, also unnamed, told Reuters.
There was talk about such difficulties as early as last year when OPEC+ 1st agreed to take some 7.7 million bpd off the market in response to the demand destruction caused by the pandemic.
According to oil industry executive Evgeny Kolesnik, who spoke to Bloomberg in May 2020:
Mass sealing of oil wells is a much more serious thing than short-term idling in the Russian climate conditions
It’s by far not a given that after a well has remained shut-in for so long it will pump at the same levels as before
Initially, the report noted, when Russia had joined OPEC members in their production control efforts, its oil companies cut a relatively small portion of production, slowly, and for a few months only.
In 2020, these companies were asked to cut much deeper and much faster, as well as for much longer.
With such long production suspension, there is the risk of never being able to restart some of the wells.
The longer a well sits idle, the more likely pressure changes become, as well as water content changes capable of rendering the well unusable ever again.
OPEC+ is meeting later this week to discuss the next steps in its production control agreement.
Early reports said the cartel was mulling over bringing additional supply online from August in response to the fast rebound in demand.
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