据烃加工2021年6月29日报道， 正如我们的《石油状况周报》(WPSR)提供的产品数据显示，美国旅游和经济活动的增长导致了汽油、馏分油和航空燃料的需求增加。 尽管这三种石油产品的需求都比去年的低点有所增长，但不同石油产品的需求增长程度有所不同。
根据6月23日的WPSR(包括截至6月18日的数据)，这三种燃料的需求均低于2019年同一周(美国开始开展COVID-19缓解工作的前一年)的需求。 在截至6月18日的那一周里，汽油的四周平均需求是2019年同期四周平均需求的94%，馏分油的需求是98%，航空燃料的需求是74%。 在去年的最低点，汽油需求降至2019年水平的56%，馏分油需求降至2019年水平的80%，航空燃料需求降至2019年水平的31%。
《石油状况周报》根据初级供应链交付的石油产品量来估算产品供应量。 虽然产品供应是消费的一个合理的替代指标，但每周数据可能会显示出由于临时需求、贸易或库存波动而产生的波动。 因此，四周的滚动平均值通常能更好地反映长期消费趋势。
根据四周的滚动平均值，美国汽油需求从去年3月13日(当时特朗普总统宣布全国紧急状态)结束的一周的930万桶/天下降到了去年4月24日的530万桶/天。 然而，今年3月开始，需求再次开始增长，5月21日当周的消费量自去年3月20日以来首次超过了900万桶/天。 截至6月18日的一周，汽油产品供应量平均为910万桶/天，为2019年同期水平的94%。
由于个人旅行的增加，美国航空燃油的需求也从去年的低点有所增加，但还没有像汽油和馏分油那样接近2019年的水平。 国际旅行限制、对其他国家COVID-19病例增加的担忧以及商务旅行减少可能是导致航空燃料需求回升相对较慢的原因。 此外，如果旅客继续避免乘坐飞机，航空燃料需求的增长可能会低于汽油和馏出燃料。 截至6月18日的一周，航空燃料产品供应量平均为130万桶/天，为2019年同期水平的74%。
李峻 编译自 烃加工
原文如下；
Distillate demand returned to 2019 levels earlier than gasoline and jet fuel demand
The combination of increases in both travel and economic activity in the United States has contributed to more demand for gasoline, distillate, and jet fuel, as reflected in the product supplied data of our Weekly Petroleum Status Report (WPSR). Although demand has increased for all three of these products from their 2020 lows, the extent of the demand growth has differed by product.
According to the June 23 WPSR, which includes data through June 18, demand for all three fuels was lower than during the same week in 2019, the year before COVID-19 mitigation efforts began in the United States. For the week ending June 18, the four-week average demand for gasoline was 94% of the four-week average for the same week in 2019, distillate was 98%, and jet fuel was 74%. At their lowest points in 2020, gasoline demand fell to 56% of its corresponding 2019 level, distillate demand to 80%, and jet fuel demand to 31%.
We estimate product supplied by the volume of petroleum products delivered out of the primary supply chain. Although product supplied is a reasonable proxy for consumption, weekly data may show volatility due to temporary demand, trade, or inventory fluctuations. As a result, a four-week rolling average often provides a better indication of longer-term consumption trends.
based on rolling four-week averages, U.S. gasoline demand fell from 9.3 million barrels per day (b/d) during the week of March 13, 2020, (when President Trump declared a national emergency) to 5.3 million b/d on April 24, 2020. Beginning in March 2021, however, demand started growing again, and consumption rose above 9.0 million b/d during the week of May 21 for the first time since March 20, 2020. For the week ending June 18, gasoline product supplied averaged 9.1 million b/d, 94% of the 2019 level for the corresponding week.
Demand for U.S. jet fuel has also increased from its 2020 lows as personal travel has increased, but it has not approached its 2019 levels as closely as gasoline and distillate have. International travel restrictions, concerns about rising COVID-19 case counts in other countries, and reduced business travel have probably contributed to the relatively slower return in jet fuel demand. In addition, the growth in jet fuel demand may be slower than gasoline and distillate fuel if travelers continue to avoid flying. For the week ending June 18, jet fuel product supplied averaged 1.3 million b/d, 74% of 2019 levels for the corresponding week.
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