据7月8日oil now消息：由于本周主要产油国之间的谈判破裂可能导致目前的产量协议被放弃，石油供应出现不确定性，周四油价连续第三天下跌。
格林尼治时间06:44，布伦特原油期货价格下跌23美分，至每桶73.20美元，跌幅0.3%；美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货价格下跌33美分，至每桶71.87美元，跌幅0.5%。
在欧佩克与其盟友之间的谈判破裂后，布伦特原油价格自周一收盘以来下跌了约5%，因为实际领导人沙特阿拉伯拒绝了阿联酋根据该组织的减产协议提高产量的要求。
OANDA高级市场分析师Edward Moya表示：“石油市场正在关注8月的石油供应短缺，并预计欧佩克+协议将在2022年4月协议到期之前破裂，因为其他成员国将要求进一步让步以确保更多的市场份额。”
自冠状病毒大流行期间需求暴跌以来，欧佩克+已经限制供应一年多。
该组织维持每天近600万桶的减产，并有望增加供应，但为期三天的会议未能消除沙特和阿联酋之间的分歧。
三名欧佩克+消息人士周三表示，俄罗斯正试图在沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋之间进行斡旋，以帮助达成一项提高石油产量的协议。
美国石油库存的大幅下降为油价提供了一些支撑。
两名市场消息人士援引美国石油协会(API)的数据称，截至7月2日当周，美国这个全球最大石油消费国的石油库存减少了800万桶，而路透调查分析师的预估为减少400万桶。
美国政府库存数据将于周四公布，推迟至7月4日美国独立日假期后的一天。
美国能源信息署周三表示，今年美国石油产量下降预计将有所缓解，日产量将为1110万桶，较2020年减少21万桶，而此前的预测为减少23万桶。
然而，对冠状病毒的担忧令油价承压，全球第四大石油消费国日本将宣布东京地区进入紧急状态，直至8月22日，因新一轮感染出现，韩国报告了有史以来最高的新冠肺炎病例。
冯娟 摘译自 oil now
原文如下：
Oil prices fall third day in a row amid OPEC+ uncertainty
Oil prices fell for a third day on Thursday amid uncertainty over supply after the collapse this week of talks among major producers which could potentially cause the current output agreement to be abandoned.
Brent crude oil futures slipped by 23 cents, or 0.3%, to $73.20 a barrel by 0644GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures were down 33 cents, or 0.5%, at $71.87 a barrel.
Brent prices have fallen about 5% since Monday’s close after talks between the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, known as OPEC+, fell apart when de facto leader Saudi Arabia refused demands from the United Arab Emirates to raise its output under the group’s supply cut agreement.
“The oil market is looking beyond the oil supply deficit in August and expecting the OPEC+ agreement to fall apart well before April 2022 when the agreement expires as other member countries will ask for further concessions to secure more market share,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.
OPEC+ has restrained supply for more than a year since demand crashed during the coronavirus pandemic.
The group is maintaining nearly 6 million barrels per day (bpd) of output cuts and was expected to add to supply, but three days of meetings failed to close divisions between the Saudis and the Emiratis.
Russia is trying to mediate between Saudi Arabia and the UAE to help strike a deal to raise oil output, three OPEC+ sources said on Wednesday.
Prices found some support from a large drop in oil inventories in the United States.
Oil stockpiles in the world’s biggest oil user fell by 8 million barrels for the week ended July 2, according to two market sources, citing American Petroleum Institute figures, compared with an estimate of a 4 million barrel fall by analysts in a Reuters poll.
Government inventory data is due on Thursday, pushed back a day following the U.S. Fourth of July holiday on Monday.
U.S. oil production declines this year are expected to lessen with the Energy Information Administration (EIA) saying on Wednesday that output will be 11.10 million bpd in 2021, down by 210,000 bpd from 2020, versus its previous forecast for a drop of 230,000 bpd.
Concerns over the coronavirus, however, weighed on prices, with Japan, the world’s fourth-largest oil user, set to declare a state of emergency for the Tokyo area through Aug. 22 amid a new wave of infections and South Korea reporting its highest ever daily COVID-19 cases.
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