据彭博社7月14日报道，油价从2018年10月以来的最高未回落，美国原油市场强劲表现被市场对新冠肺炎变异病毒威胁需求的担忧所抵消。
纽约期货交易价格接近每桶75美元，周二上涨1.6%。一份行业报告显示，美国原油库存上周再次大幅下降。要知道，该国的石油需求已飙升至新高，汽油和柴油也回到了疫情爆发前的水平。
然而，全球前景面临来自新冠肺炎变异病毒传播日益严重的威胁。印尼公布了创纪录的阳性病例，悉尼延长了封锁期。
PVM石油联合公司分析师Stephen Brennock 表示：“石油市场正在酝酿风暴，人们越来越担心新冠肺炎病例的增加可能会推迟经济的全面复苏，进而对近中期的石油需求增长构成重大威胁。”
由于疫苗的推出提升了美国和中国等主要经济体的需求，并促进了欧洲的复苏，油价今年已上涨逾50%。期货价格显示出较短期合约的溢价，而所谓的现货溢价，通常意味着供应紧张。
国际能源署（IEA）警告称，如果欧佩克+不能解决，阻止该组织恢复生产的僵局，市场将大幅吃紧。
价格方面
伦敦时间上午10点34分，纽约商品交易所8月份的西德克萨斯中质原油价格下跌0.6%，至每桶74.77美元。周二，收于每桶75.25美元，为2018年10月3日以来的最高水平
欧洲期货交易所9月份布伦特原油结算价下跌0.7%，至每桶75.99美元，周二曾上涨1.8%。
布伦特原油现货溢价每桶78美分，而一周前为每桶88美分。
据知情人士透露，美国石油协会(API)表示，上周原油库存减少了400多万桶。据彭博社的一项调查，美国能源信息署(EIA)也会发布类似的减产报告。这将是连续第八周下跌，是自2018年1月以来持续时间最长的下跌。要知道，塑料、沥青、润滑油和其他工业需求石油产品的消费激增，有助于推动经济复苏。
王佳晶 摘译自 彭博社
原文如下：
Oil dips after hitting 2018 high with market poised to tighten
Oil eased from its highest closing level since October 2018 as signs of a strong U.S. crude market were offset by fears over the delta variant’s threat to demand.
Futures in New York traded near US$75 a barrel, after climbing 1.6 per cent on Tuesday. American crude inventories declined substantially again last week, according to an industry report published ahead of government data due later on Wednesday. The nation’s oil demand has soared to new heights, with gasoline and diesel returning to pre-pandemic levels.
Yet the global outlook faces a growing threat from the spread of the coronavirus variant. Indonesia posted a record number of positive cases, while Sydney extended a lockdown.
“Trouble is brewing for the oil market,” said Stephen Brennock, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates Ltd. “Fears are mounting that rising COVID-19 Delta cases could delay a full economic recovery. This, in turn, poses a significant threat to oil demand growth in the near-to-medium-term.”
Oil has rallied more than 50 per cent this year as the vaccine rollout lifts demand in major economies such as the U.S. and China, and fosters a recovery in Europe. Futures prices are showing a premium on nearer-term contracts, known as backwardation, which usually indicates tightness.
The International Energy Agency is warning that the market will tighten significantly if the OPEC+ alliance doesn’t resolve a standoff that’s preventing the group from reviving production.
Prices
West Texas Intermediate for August dipped 0.6 per cent to US$74.77 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:34 a.m. in London.
It settled on Tuesday at US$75.25, the highest since Oct. 3, 2018
Brent for September settlement slipped 0.7 per cent to US$75.99 on the ICE Futures Europe exchange after climbing 1.8 per cent on Tuesday.
The prompt timespread for Brent was 78 cents a barrel in backwardation, compared with 88 cents a week earlier.
The American Petroleum Institute said crude inventories slid by more than 4 million barrels last week, according to people familiar with the data. The Energy Information Administration is expected to report a similar reduction later on Wednesday, according to a Bloomberg survey.
That would be an eighth straight weekly draw, the longest run of declines since January 2018. A surge in petroleum use for products such as plastic, asphalt, lubricants and other industrial needs is helping to propel the recovery.
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