据彭博社7月22日报道，因市场预期需求复苏将很快令全球市场吃紧，油价小幅走高，创下3个月来最大涨幅。
西德克萨斯中质原油(West Texas Intermediate)期货价格进一步突破每桶70美元，目前已收复了周一7.5%的大部分跌幅。许多大型石油消费国的汽油使用基本上已恢复正常，道路交通数据也显示出转好的趋势。市场复苏促使亚洲从战略储备中向地方炼油厂供应原油，以期为油价降温。
由于担心delta变异毒株的传播将对全球经济造成新的打击，周一原油价格与更广泛的金融市场同步下跌。这种病毒已经席卷了整个亚洲，促使各国政府重新出台一系列限制措施，以遏制其蔓延。油价暴跌发生在欧佩克+周末会议之后，由沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯领导的23国联盟最终确定了恢复停产的计划。
自那以来，市场一直在好转，因为交易员预计欧佩克+计划的增产幅度不足以避免未来几个月出现短缺。美国政府数据显示，俄克拉荷马州库欣的石油库存降至2020年1月以来的最低水平，市场情绪得到提振。
PVM石油联合公司的分析师Stephen Brennock表示:“市场参与者摆脱了对疫情将打击石油需求的部分担忧情绪，相信石油基本面会收紧。”
价格方面
伦敦时间上午10点29分，纽约商品交易所9月份交货的西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)价格上涨0.9%，至每桶70.96美元。
在欧洲期货交易所，9月份交割的布伦特原油价格上涨0.9%，至每桶72.85美元。布伦特原油现货价差为每桶63美分。虽然这是一种看涨趋势，近期价格高于远期价格，但一周前的价差为每桶70美分。
美国能源信息署(EIA)周三公布，尽管美国原油库存意外增加，但馏分油和汽油供应下降。来自世界各地的数据显示，目前美国、印度、西班牙和葡萄牙的汽油消费量低于2019年水平的4%，而英国的需求下降了6%
王佳晶 摘译自 彭博社
原文如下：
Oil rises after biggest gain in three months on demand recovery
Oil edged higher, holding the biggest gain in three months, amid expectations that recovering demand will soon tighten global markets.
West Texas Intermediate futures pushed further above US$70 a barrel, and have now recouped much of Monday’s 7.5 per centcollapse. Gasoline use is essentially back to normal in many of the biggest oil-consuming countries, with road traffic data showing a similar trend. The market recovery has spurred Asia to supply crude from its strategic reserves to local refiners in a bid to cool prices.
Crude slumped on Monday in tandem with broader financial markets on fears that the spread of the coronavirus’ delta variant would inflict a fresh blow on the global economy. The variant has ripped through Asia, prompting a flurry of renewed curbs by governments to check its spread. The price plunge came just after a weekend meeting of OPEC+, at which the 23-nation alliance led by Saudi Arabia and Russia finalized plans to restore halted production.
Since then, the market has been on the mend as traders anticipate that OPEC+’s scheduled output increases aren’t large enough to avert a shortfall in coming months. Sentiment has been boosted as U.S. government data showed oil inventories at the nation’s key storage hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, falling to the lowest since January 2020.
“Market players shook off some of their worries that the pandemic will hit oil demand and put their faith in tightening oil fundamentals,” said Stephen Brennock, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates Ltd.
Prices:
WTI for September delivery rose 0.9 per centto US$70.96 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:29 a.m. London time.
Brent for September settlement also advanced 0.9 per centto trade at US$72.85 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange.
Brent’s prompt time spread was 63 cents a barrel in backwardation. While that’s a bullish pattern -- with near-dated prices above those further out -- it compares with 70 cents a barrel a week ago.
Although there was an unexpected build in overall U.S. crude stockpiles, distillates and gasoline supplies declined, the Energy Information Administration reported on Wednesday. Data from around the world now show gasoline consumption within 4 per centeither side of 2019 levels in the U.S., India, Spain and Portugal, while demand is down 6 per centin the U.K.
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