据7月20日Neftegaz.RU. 报道,欧盟氢能财团(Hydrogen4EU)委托的一项研究显示,欧洲能源系统在可能的净零排放未来将需要当前相同数量的天然气。
欧盟氢能财团是一个研究伙伴关系,旨在了解低碳和可再生氢对实现欧洲能源转型目标的贡献。
几个合作伙伴资助了这项研究,包括英国石油公司(BP)、埃尼集团(ENI)、挪国油(Equinor)、埃克森美孚(ExxonMobil)、OMV、壳牌公司(Shell)、Snam、道达尔、Wintershall Dea、Zukunft Gas等。
科学家们考虑了欧盟能源系统发展的两种情况,第一种是技术多样化和广泛使用脱碳技术。在这种情况下,到2050年天然气在一次能源需求中的份额将达到32%。如今,这一比例约为25%。
第二种情况是指有目的地发展可再生能源。然而,即使在这种情况下,欧盟的天然气需求仍不会改变。到2050年,这一比例将达到26%左右。在这种情况下,天然气作为可再生能源的补充,提供了重要的灵活性。
值得一提的是,将CCUS技术用于天然气的重要性。分析师们强调,未来天然气消费的重点将不可避免地从最终用户的直接燃烧转向氢气和电力的生产。
GasNatural总裁兼Wintershall Dea首席运营官Dawn Summers在研究报告陈述会上表示:“一条可靠的脱碳之路需要的不仅仅是电气化,利用可再生能源和低碳天然气的能量将是最快的。”
欧盟委员会于2019年12月发布的《欧洲绿色协议》加强了此前宣布的可持续发展、可再生能源部署和减少温室气体排放方面的目标。
该协议为欧盟的脱碳设定了前所未有的目标,即到2030年,在1990年的基础上减少55%的排放,到2050年实现净零排放。
王佳晶 摘译自 Neftegaz.RU.
原文如下:
EU gas demand to remain unchanged even in net-zero future
European energy system will need similar amounts of natural gas in a feasible net-zero future as it does today, shows the study commissioned by the Hydrogen4EU consortium.
Hydrogen4EU is a research partnership aiming to inform on the contribution of low-carbon and renewable hydrogen in reaching the European energy transition goals.
Several partners funded the research.
Among them are BP, ENI, Equinor, ExxonMobil, OMV, Shell, Snam, Total, Wintershall Dea, Zukunft Gas and others.
The scientists considered 2 scenarios of the EU energy system development.
The 1st involves technology diversification and using a wide range of decarbonization technologies.
In this case, the share of gas in primary energy demand will reach 32% by 2050.
Today it is around 25%.
The 2nd scenario means the purposeful development of renewables.
However, even in this case, the gas demand in the EU remains unchanged.
It will be around 26% by 2050.
In this scenario, gas ‘provides important flexibility as a complement to renewables’.
The authors note the importance of using CCUS technologies with natural gas.
They highlight that in the future, the focus of gas consumption will inevitably shift from direct combustion by end-users to the production of hydrogen and electricity.
Dawn Summers, President of GasNaturally and COO of Wintershall Dea, said at the presentation of the study:
A credible path to decarbonisation will require more than just electrification
Harnessing the power of both renewables and low-carbon gas will deliver the fastest
The European Green Deal, published in December 2019 by the European Commission, strengthened the previously announced objectives in terms of sustainability, renewable energy deployment and reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.
It sets unprecedented objectives for the decarbonization of the EU, with a target of net-zero emissions by 2050 and an intermediary 55% reduction of emissions in 2030, compared to 1990.
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