据8月16日Oil Now报道，在8月16日亚洲早盘交易中，原油期货价格走低。作为石油消费大国的中国出台的限制措施，影响了石油的流动性，加上美国新冠肺炎病例增多，投资者对德尔塔变异病毒快速蔓延的担忧重新出现。
新加坡时间上午10:51 （格林尼治时间02:51），洲际交易所10月布伦特原油期货合约较之前收盘价下跌80美分/桶(1.13%)，至69.79美元/桶，而纽约商品交易所9月轻质低硫原油合约价格下跌77美分/桶(1.13%)，至67.67美元/桶。
Vanda Insights首席执行官Vandana Hari表示，“对变异病毒的担忧正进一步控制着石油市场情绪。西方夏季旅游和旅游业的繁荣正在逐渐消失，病毒继续在世界各地蔓延”。
分析师表示，8月16日油价下跌可能只是短暂的，因为随着本周的进展，投资者需要时间来重新评估供求前景，“贸易模式显示出的是恐惧和从众心理，而不是冷静地重新调整需求。最近几周，我们看到了类似的‘恐慌星期一’”。
美国新冠肺炎病例数量持续增长。8月12日，美国疾病控制与预防中心报告了自2021年1月以来的最高病例数，为146949例。截至8月13日，7天移动平均数为119523例，是7月初平均值的6倍多。
此外，需求前景仍然高度不确定。上周，国际能源署（IEA）指出，由于亚洲其他地区的新冠肺炎疫情重新出现，7月份的石油需求下降了12万桶/天，并将2021年下半年的需求预测下调了60万桶/天，至9815万桶/天。
与此同时，欧佩克在8月12日表示，其对2021年和2022年的全球需求预测保持不变，未来几个月石油需求应继续高于供应。
王佳晶 摘译自 Oil Now
原文如下：
Delta tightening grip on oil market
Crude oil futures were lower during mid-morning Asian trade Aug. 16 as investor concerns over the fast-spreading delta variant resurfaced amid restrictive movement curbs in oil consuming giant China and growing number of cases in the US.
At 10:51 am Singapore time (0251 GMT), the ICE October Brent futures contract was down 80 cents/b (1.13%) from the previous close at $69.79/b, while the NYMEX September light sweet crude contract similarly fell 77 cents/b (1.13%) at $67.67/b.
“The delta [variant] worries are tightening their grip on oil market sentiment,” Vandana Hari, CEO of Vanda Insights, said. “The summer travel and tourism boom in the West is petering out, while the virus continues to fester in pockets across the world.”
Analysts said the Aug. 16 dip in oil markers may be short-lived as investors take time to reassess the supply-demand outlook as the week progresses.
“The trade patterns suggest fear and a herd mentality more than a cool-headed recalibration of demand. We have seen a few such “panic Mondays” in recent weeks,” Hari said.
COVID-19 case numbers in the US have continued to grow. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Aug. 12 reported its highest number of COVID-19 cases since January 2021 at 146,949. The seven-day moving average stood at 119,523 as of Aug. 13, more than six times the average at the start of July.
The demand outlook remains highly uncertain. Last week, the International Energy Agency pointed to a 120,000 b/d drop in July oil demand because of the coronavirus resurgence in other parts of Asia, and had cut its second-half 2021 demand estimate by 600,000 b/d to 98.15 million b/d.
OPEC, meanwhile, said on Aug. 12 it was keeping its global demand forecasts for 2021 and 2022 unchanged, and that oil demand should remain higher than supply over the coming months.
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