据塔斯社8月14日消息：挪威能源咨询公司Rystad Energy在一份声明中表示，俄罗斯的原油和凝析油产量可能在2022年夏季达到创纪录水平，预计在2023年将达到峰值。
“欧佩克+联盟最近同意稳步提高石油产量，这为俄罗斯慢慢摆脱新冠肺炎的减产铺平了道路。Rystad Energy的一份分析报告显示，该国有望在2022年7月创下1160万桶/天的月度原油和凝析油产量新纪录。该公司在一份声明中称：“俄罗斯的石油机器将进一步加速，在2023年中期达到近1220万桶/天的峰值。”
俄罗斯目前每月的石油和凝析油产量记录是在2018年12月创下的1150万桶/天。Rystad Energy的预测指出，2023年将是产量最高的一年，预计为1216万桶/天。
因此，俄罗斯2023年的原油和凝析油年产量将保持在6亿吨左右。此前5.68亿吨的年度纪录是在2019年创下的。
Rystad Energy表示，俄罗斯石油公司和俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司的新油田项目将推动该国的中短期产量增长。
据该公司称，俄罗斯运营商将发现，恢复那些因欧佩克+减产而关闭的油井将非常困难和昂贵。
欧佩克+联盟由欧佩克成员国和13个非成员国组成，自5月以来一直在提高石油产量。他们同意每月增加40万桶石油产量，以在2022年9月之前将2020年减少的石油产量恢复到之前的水平。
冯娟 摘译自 塔斯社
原文如下：
Russia to reach record-high oil production by summer 2022 - forecast
Russia may reach a record-high level of crude and condensate production in summer 2022, with output expected to reach its peak in 2023, Norway’s Rystad Energy consulting company said in a statement on Friday.
"The OPEC+ coalition’s recent agreement to steadily raise oil production is paving the way for Russia to slowly shrug off Covid-19 curtailments. The country is on track to set a new monthly crude and condensate output record of 11.6 million barrels per day (bpd) already in July 2022, a Rystad Energy analysis reveals. Russia’s oil machine will then accelerate further to a peak of almost 12.2 million bpd in mid-2023," the company said in a statement.
Russia’s current monthly oil and condensate production record of 11.5 million bpd was set in December 2018. Rystad Energy’s projections point to 2023 as a peak year also at an annual production level, expected at 12.16 million bpd.
Therefore, Russia’s annual crude and condensate production in 2023 will stand at about 600 million tonnes. The previous annual record of 568 million tonnes was set in 2019.
The country’s short-and medium-term production growth will be driven by Rosneft and Gazpromneft’s greenfield projects, Rystad Energy said.
According to the company, Russian operators will find it difficult and expensive to bring back online wells that were shut to comply with OPEC+ output cuts.
Members of the OPEC+ alliance, bringing together OPEC members and 13 non-member states, have been boosting their oil output since May. They agreed to increase oil production by 0.4 million bpd per month in a bid to restore oil output, reduced in 2020, to its previous levels by September 2022.
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