据世界石油12月9日报道，加拿大能源监管机构周四表示，随着各国努力减少碳排放，加拿大的石油产量可能在未来十年继续增加，然后开始下降。
一份报告称，2032年的加拿大日产量将从今年的500万桶增加到580万桶，然后在2050年下降到480万桶。这一预测是基于各国继续加强应对气候变化的措施，导致经通胀调整后的布伦特原油价格从今年的每桶68美元，降至2050年的每桶40美元。
报告预测，如果气候变化措施不那么严格，加拿大的产量将在 2040 年稳定在每天 670 万桶。加拿大在阿尔伯塔省北部的油砂矿中拥有世界第三大原油储量，是美国最大的石油供应国。
黎泱 编译自 世界石油
原文如下：
Canada’s oil output may start declining in 2032, regulator says
Canada’s oil production could continue to rise for the next decade and then begin declining as countries strive to reduce carbon emissions, the Canada Energy Regulator said Thursday.
Production will increase to 5.8 million barrels a day in 2032 from 5 million this year and then decline to 4.8 million barrels a day in 2050, according to a report. The projection is based countries continuing to strengthen measures to fight climate change, contributing to inflation-adjusted Brent crude falling to $40 a barrel by 2050 from $68 a barrel this year.
Should climate change measures be less stringent, Canadian output will plateau at 6.7 million barrels a day in 2040, the report predicts. Canada, holder of the world’s third-largest crude oil reserves in its oil sands of Northern Alberta, is the largest foreign oil supplier to the U.S.
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