据世界能源网站12月14日报道，欧佩克上调了2022年第一季度的全球石油需求预测，但保留了全年增长预测，因为该组织表示，奥密克戎冠状病毒变体将产生温和影响。
该组织表示，预计新的奥密克戎变体的影响“将是温和和短暂的，因为世界将更好地应对疫情及其相关挑战”。该公司同时预测，尽管存在全球通货膨胀的担忧和供应链瓶颈，但发达经济体和新兴经济体的经济都将稳步增长。
欧佩克做出上述评估之际，油价继续走高，各方对奥密克戎变体冲击需求的担忧有所缓解。
经合组织国家的石油需求预计将在2022年增加180万桶/天，而非经合组织地区的石油需求预计将增加230万桶/天。
欧佩克表示，这得益于经济活动的稳定势头，尤其是亚洲最大原油消费国、印度和其他亚洲国家。
该组织将2021年全球石油需求增长保持在上月估计的每日570万桶不变。
欧佩克表示，受美国钻井和完井活动预计逐步增加的影响，2022年非欧佩克石油供应预计将同比增长300万桶/天。
预计美国和俄罗斯将贡献总预期增长的三分之二，其次是巴西、加拿大、哈萨克斯坦、挪威和圭亚那。
贾丽 摘译自 世界能源
原文如下：
Opec Maintains 2022 Demand Outlook and Expects Mild Impact from Omicron Variant
Opec raised its global oil demand forecast for the first quarter of 2022 but left its full-year growth projection as it said the Omicron coronavirus variant would have a mild impact.
The oil exporters' group expects oil demand to average 99.13 million barrels per day (bpd) in the first quarter of 2022, up 1.11 million bpd from its forecast last month, it said in its monthly bulletin on Monday. World oil demand growth was kept unchanged at 4.2 million bpd and total global consumption at 100.6 million bpd.
The impact of the new Omicron variant is projected to “be mild and short-lived, as the world becomes better equipped to manage Covid-19 and its related challenges”, it said while predicting steady economic growth in both the advanced and emerging economies, despite global inflation concerns and supply chain bottlenecks.
The assessment from Opec comes as oil prices continued to trade higher, amid easing concerns over the Omicron variant hitting demand.
Demand for oil in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries is forecast to grow by 1.8 million bpd in 2022, while the non-OECD region is projected to increase by 2.3 million bpd.
Opec said,“supported by steady momentum in economic activities, particularly the biggest oil-consuming country, India and other Asian countries.”
The group kept world oil demand growth for 2021 unchanged from last month’s assessment of 5.7 million bpd.
Non-Opec supply growth in 2022 is expected to be 3 million bpd year-on-year on the back of an expected gradual increase in drilling and completion activities in the US, Opec said.
The US and Russia are forecast to contribute two thirds of total expected growth, followed by Brazil, Canada, Kazakhstan, Norway, and Guyana.
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