据天然气工业12月22日消息称,美国将在2022年超过卡塔尔和澳大利亚,成为世界上最大的LNG出口国,并可能在未来几年继续保持这一头衔。
在其他欧洲和亚洲的大型经济体争相为供暖和发电寻找足够的供应的时候,美国却拥有许多供应——而这些供应在未来几年还会增长。
自2015年以来,全球LNG需求每年都创下历史新高,这主要是由于亚洲其他地区的需求激增。美国LNG出口的稳步增长在很大程度上满足了全球需求,自2016年以来,美国LNG出口每年都创下新纪录,并有望在2022年继续保持这一势头。
美国能源情报署预计,到2022年,美国LNG出口量将达到115亿立方英尺/天。据高盛分析师称,这将约占明年全球533亿立方英尺/天的LNG需求的大约 22%,并将超过目前最大的两个LNG出口国澳大利亚和卡塔尔。
10亿立方英尺的天然气足够500万美国家庭一天使用。
到2025年左右,美国仍将是最大的LNG出口国,而随着卡塔尔北部油田的扩建项目开始投入使用,届时卡塔尔可能会重新获得领先地位。但如果一些美国开发商开始建设新的LNG出口工厂,美国可能不会放弃这一桂冠。
美国最大的LNG出口国切尼尔能源等主要的美国开发商近几个月签署了大量出售LNG的长期协议,这些协议应能使他们获得继续推进其他数十亿美元项目所需的融资。
预计到2022年,美国将超过澳大利亚和卡塔尔,成为最大的LNG出口国。
朱佳妮 摘译自 天然气工业
原文如下:
U.S. to be world's biggest LNG exporter in 2022
The United States is set to become the world's biggest liquefied natural gas (LNG) exporter in 2022, surpassing Qatar and Australia, and may hold that title for years to come.
In a year when other large economies in Europe and Asia scrambled to source enough supply for heating and power generation, the United States was sitting on a bevy of supply - one that will grow in coming years.
Global LNG demand has hit record highs each year since 2015, due mostly to surging demand in the rest of Asia. Much of that global appetite has been met by steadily rising U.S. LNG exports, which have reached new records every year since 2016 and is poised to continue in 2022.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects U.S. LNG exports will reach 11.5 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in 2022. That would account for roughly 22% of expected world LNG demand of 53.3 bcfd next year, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs and would outpace both Australia and Qatar, the two largest exporters at present.
One billion cubic feet is enough gas for about 5 million U.S. homes for a day.
The United States should remain the biggest LNG exporter by capacity until around 2025, when Qatar could regain the lead as its North Field expansion starts to enter service. But if some U.S. developers start building new LNG export plants, the United States may not give up the crown.
Major U.S. developers like Cheniere Energy, the largest U.S. exporter, have signed numerous long-term deals to sell LNG in recent months that should enable them to secure the financing needed to go forward with additional multibillion-dollar projects.
The United States is expected to become the largest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) by 2022, surpassing Australia and Qatar.
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