据世界石油2月8日消息称,美国石油产量的增长将超过政府之前的预期,因为强劲的油价上涨推动生产商增加钻探。
根据能源信息署的数据,到2023 年,石油日均产量将达到 1260 万桶,高于此前估计的 1241万桶。目前1230万桶/天的年度历史最高纪录是在2019年创下的。EIA在其月度《短期能源展望》报告中称,今年的产量预测也从此前的每日1180万桶上调至1197万桶。
美国供应的增加对美国政府来说是一个可喜的福音。政府已要求供应商提高产量,以帮助压低能源价格。能源价格正导致美国通胀率升至数十年来最高水平。随着油价飙升至2014年以来的最高水平,美国两家最大的石油公司宣布,他们将在美国产量最高的二叠纪盆地增加两位数的产量。
随着经济从大流行时期的放缓中复苏,供应与需求之间的缺口持续扩大,价格上涨。报告称,今年全球石油消费量预计将达到每日1.006亿桶,高于此前预估的每日1.0052亿桶。预计到2023年,石油消费量将增至每天1.025亿桶。
预计今年全球石油供应量将增至每天1.0139亿桶。这比上个月预测的1.0105亿要高。EIA预计,到2023年,全球石油日产量将进一步上升至1.0347亿桶。
朱佳妮 摘译自 世界石油
原文如下:
U.S. sees record oil production next year moving even higher
U.S. oil production will grow even more than the government previously expected as a scorching price rally drives producers to boost drilling.
Oil output will average 12.6 million barrels a day in 2023, an increase from its previous estimate of 12.41 million, according to Energy Information Administration data. The current annual all-time high of 12.3 million barrels a day was set in 2019. This year’s production forecast was also revised higher to 11.97 million barrels a day from an earlier projection of 11.8 million, the EIA said in its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report.
This extra U.S. supply is a welcome boon for U.S, who has asked suppliers to raise production in order to help tamp down energy prices that are contributing to the highest inflation in decades. In the wake of oil prices surging to their highest since 2014, two of the largest U.S. oil companies announced they would increase production by double digits in the Permian Basin, America’s most prolific oil patch.
Prices have rallied with supplies consistently falling short of demand surging around the globe as economies recover from pandemic-era slowdowns. Global consumption is set to reach 100.6 million barrels a day this year, a higher revision from the last estimate of 100.52 million, according to the report. Consumption is expected to rise to 102.5 million barrels a day in 2023.
Global petroleum supply are expected to rise to 101.39 million barrels a day this year. That’s an upward revision from last month’s forecast of 101.05 million. The EIA expects global production will rise further to 103.47 million barrels a day in 2023.
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