据世界石油网站3月18日报道 雷斯塔能源研究表示，服务业在碳捕获和储存（CCS）开发上的支出在本十年内将飙升，从2022年到2025年将翻两番，未来三年全球累计支出将超过500亿美元。
2022年宣布的商业项目总支出预计将达到44亿美元，高于去年的28亿美元。预计到2023年，支出将增加近三倍，达到110亿美元。预测显示，2024年和2025年将分别增加180亿美元和190亿美元，到本十年中期，预计总额将达到520亿美元。这些总数仅包括已宣布的项目，同时假设所有项目都按计划进行，并且不包括试点或示范项目。
这笔资金将用于与捕集装置的安装、二氧化碳的运输和储存相关的广泛服务。欧洲和北美将推动支出，在宣布的84个商用CCS项目中，预计到2025年将有63个位于这两个地区。
雷斯塔能源高级分析师Lein Mann Hansen表示：“CCS技术被视为成功实现能源转型所需的社会脱碳的一个基本组成部分。尽管这项技术可以追溯到20世纪70年代，但CCS项目的宣布数量在过去两年中激增，因此服务业的支出预计将在未来几年达到顶峰。”
全球已有56个商业CCS项目在运行，能够在各个行业每年捕获高达4100万吨的二氧化碳。根据已经宣布的项目，到2025年，近140个CCS工厂将投入运行，如果所有项目按计划推进，将捕获至少1.5亿吨二氧化碳。这些项目目前处于不同的开发阶段，包括可行性、概念和建设。
将近三分之二的总服务支出将用于为该设施配备二氧化碳捕获组件和维持运营。工程、采购、施工和安装（EPCI）成本将是支出的主要驱动力，到2025年，将为550亿美元的总额贡献约350亿美元。2025年，EPCI的年度支出将达到120亿美元，比今年预计的28亿美元增加了300%以上。
王磊 摘译自 世界石油
原文如下：
Carbon capture and storage service spending to total more than $50 billion globally by 2025
Service sector spending on carbon capture and storage (CCS) developments is set to skyrocket this decade, quadrupling from 2022 to 2025, with cumulative global expenditure over the next three years topping $50 billion, Rystad Energy research indicates.
Total spending for announced commercial projects in 2022 is projected to hit $4.4 billion, up from $2.8 billion last year. Outlay is then expected to nearly triple in 2023, topping $11 billion for the year. Projections show 2024 and 2025 will see an additional $18 billion and $19 billion, respectively, bringing the projected total to $52 billion by the middle of the decade. These totals only include announced projects, assuming all projects move ahead as planned, and do not account for pilot or demonstration-only developments.
The cash will be spent on a broad range of services related to the installation of the capture unit, transportation of the carbon dioxide (CO2) and storage. Europe and North America will drive spending, with 63 out of the 84 announced commercial CCS projects expected to start operations by 2025 situated in these two regions.
“CCS technology is viewed as a fundamental component of the societal decarbonization required for a successful energy transition. Although the technology dates back to the 1970s, the number of CCS project announcements has surged in the last two years, and service sector spending is expected to go through the roof in the coming years as a result,” says Lein Mann Hansen, Rystad Energy senior analyst.
There are 56 commercial CCS projects already in operation globally, capable of capturing up to 41 million tonnes per annum (tpa) of CO2 across various industries. based on already announced projects, nearly 140 CCS plants could be operational by 2025, capturing at least 150 million tpa of CO2 if all projects move ahead as scheduled. These projects are currently in various stages of development, including feasibility, concept and construction.
Almost two-thirds of the total service spending will go towards equipping the facility with the CO2 capture component and maintaining operations. Engineering, procurement, construction and installation (EPCI) costs will be the primary driver of spending, contributing about $35 billion to the $55 billion total by 2025. Annual EPCI spending will hit $12 billion in 2025, a more than 300% increase from the $2.8 billion projected for this year.
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