据今日油价网3月30日报道，欧佩克联合技术委员会修正了对第一季度供需的估计。根据该委员会的估计，供应过剩已从此前估计的100万桶/日缩减至60万桶/日。
欧佩克联合技术委员会于本周三召开会议，在周四欧佩克和非欧佩克部长级会议之前评估石油市场的发展。
路透社援引欧佩克的一份声明称，欧佩克秘书长巴尔金多(HE Mohammad Barkindo)呼吁成员国在明天的决定上“坚持到底”。
这是向石油市场发出的最新信号，表明明天的OPEC+会议很可能是短暂而平静的，不会改变该组织5月份的生产计划。
目前的计划是，欧佩克将日产量增加43.2万桶，以增加该组织的总生产配额，尽管有人呼吁欧佩克提高产量。
世界银行(World Bank)周三表示，未来几个月，海湾产油国可能将在遏制油气价格波动方面发挥关键作用。
据路透社(Reuters)报道，世界银行行长David Malpass在迪拜举行的世界政府峰会上发表电视讲话称:“我们正在见证全球油气市场的大规模重组，海湾合作委员会(GCC)的供应灵活性将在未来几个月抑制市场波动方面发挥关键作用。”
海湾产油国沙特阿拉伯、阿联酋和科威特都同时是海湾合作委员会和欧佩克成员国。
但欧佩克的挑战依然存在。尽管欧佩克自去年8月以来每月都提高了产量目标，但一直未能达到新的月度目标，这让市场担心欧佩克是否有能力满足当前的市场需求。
石油咨询机构PetroLogistics周三表示，尽管欧佩克提高了配额，但3月前27天欧佩克原油出口量实际上仍在下降，平均每日出口量仅为2142.1万桶，较2月整个月减少了363,000桶。
季廷伟 摘译自OilPrice.com
原文如下：
OPEC Sees Smaller Oil Supply Surplus For Q1 2022
OPEC’s Joint Technical Committee has revised its estimates for Q1 supply and demand. In the Committee’s estimation, the supply surplus has shrunk to 600,000 bpd, versus its previous estimate of 1 million bpd.
OPEC’s Joint Technical Committee met on Wednesday to review oil market developments ahead of the OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting on Thursday.
OPEC Secretary General HE Mohammad Barkindo encouraged its members “to stay the course” when it comes to the group’s decision tomrorow, according to an OPEC statement cited by Reuters.
This is the most recent signal to the oil markets that tomorrow’s OPEC+ meeting is likely to be short and uneventful, resulting in no changes to the group’s production plans for May.
The current plan is for OPEC+ to add 432,000 bpd to the group’s overall production quota, despite calls on the group to boost its production more significantly.
The World Bank said on Wednesday that Gulf oil producers could play a critical role in squelching oil and gas price volatility in the coming months.
“We are witnessing a massive restructuring of the global oil and gas market, where the supply flexibility of the GCC will be critical in dampening volatility in coming months,” David Malpass said in a speech telecast at the World Government Summit in Dubai, according to Reuters.
Gulf producers Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait are all GCC and OPEC members.
But OPEC+’s challenges remain. While OPEC+ has raised its target production level every month since last August, it has been unable to hit its new monthly targets, leaving the market to worry whether OPEC+ has the capacity to meet the current market demands.
PetroLogistics said on Wednesday that OPEC’s crude oil exports actually fell during the first 27 days of March, averaging just 21.421 million barrels per day—down 363,000 bpd versus the full month of February, despite OPEC’s increased quotas.
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