EIA：美国天然气消费量将增加

据原油新闻4月13日消息称，美国能源情报署(EIA)周二在一份报告中预测，到2022年，美国的天然气消费量将平均为841亿立方英尺/天，比2021年增长1%。

EIA在其4月份的短期能源展望(STEO)中表示，这一增长是由于预测2022年的气温较2021年更低，这将导致住宅和商业部门的消费量增加。

此外，该报告在月度预测中说，美国工业部门将在2022年消耗更多的天然气，以应对不断扩大的经济活动。

报告预测，到2023年，美国天然气平均消费量将达到847亿立方英尺/天。

报告称，上个月美国液化天然气出口平均为119亿立方英尺/天，比2月增加了7亿立方英尺/天，预计美国液化天然气出口的高水平将在2022年继续，全年平均为122亿立方英尺/天，比2021年增加25%。

报告称，美国干天然气产量将平均为974亿立方英尺/天，比2021年增加38亿立方英尺/天，并预测到2023年平均为1009亿立方英尺/天。

报告称，可再生能源发电的增加也将导致煤炭发电的份额从2021年和2022年的23%下降到2023年的21%，并补充说，核能发电在预测中相对稳定，在全国的平均份额为20%。

该报告称，随着经济活动的增加和能源使用的增加，美国能源相关的二氧化碳排放量在2021年增加6%以上，预计2022年能源相关的二氧化碳排放量将激增2%，主要原因是与交通相关的石油消费不断增长。

曹海斌 摘译自 原油新闻

原文如下：

U.S. Consumption of Natural Gas to Increase: EIA

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecast in a report on Tuesday that the consumption of natural gas in the country will average 84.1 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2022, up 1 percent from 2021.

In its April's Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA said the increase is a result of colder forecast temperatures in 2022 compared with 2021, which results in more consumption in the residential and commercial sectors.

In addition, the U.S. industrial sector will consume more natural gas in 2022 in response to expanding economic activity, said the report in its monthly forecast.

The U.S. natural gas consumption will average 84.7 Bcf/d in 2023, the report forecast.

U.S. LNG exports averaged 11.9 Bcf/d last month, an increase of 0.7 Bcf/d from February, said the report, expecting high levels of U.S. LNG exports to continue in 2022, averaging 12.2 Bcf/d for the year, a 25 percent increase from 2021.

U.S. dry natural gas production will average 97.4 Bcf/d, 3.8 Bcf/d more than in 2021, said the report, forecasting an average of 100.9 Bcf/d in 2023.

Increasing renewable generation will also lead to the decline of coal's share of generation from 23 percent in both 2021 and 2022 to 21 percent by 2023, said the report, adding that nuclear generation remains relatively constant in the forecast at an average share of 20 percent in the country.

U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions increased by more than 6 percent in 2021 as economic activity increased and contributed to rising energy use, said the report, expecting a 2 percent surge in energy-related CO2 emissions in 2022, primarily from growing transportation-related petroleum consumption.