据世界石油网4月18日报道,美国原油产量的增长速度将比此前预期的更慢,因为页岩油生产商在通货膨胀猖獗的情况下努力应对更高的生产和劳动力成本。
根据美国能源情报署(Energy Information Administration)的数据显示,2022年的日均产量预计将达到1201万桶,而此前的预测为1203万桶。
此次修订正值美国政府努力遏制因能源成本上涨而引发的通胀飙升之际。由于地缘政治危机限制了生产大国对全球市场的原油出口,而石油输出国组织(OPEC)及其盟国难以实现产量目标,油价飙升至100美元以上。与此同时,由于投资者向美国许多上市石油生产商施压,要求它们提高回报率,因此与之前的价格繁荣相比,美国许多上市石油生产商的增产速度更加温和。
EIA预计2023年的日产量将增加94万桶,达到日均1295万桶,而此前预测的日产量将增加96万桶。
石油日需求预计将增加80万桶,达到2058万桶,而不是增加87万桶。
郝芬 译自 世界石油网
原文如下:
U.S. crude output will rise at slower-than-expected pace, EIA says
U.S. crude output will grow at a more diminished pace than previously expected as shale producers grapple with higher production and labor costs amid rampant inflation.
Production in 2022 is now expected to average 12.01 million barrels a day compared to the previous forecast of 12.03 million barrels a day, according to the Energy Information Administration.
The revisions come as the Administration struggles to contain surging inflation stoked by rising energy costs. Oil skyrocketed above $100 as the war has limited crude exports into the global market while OPEC and its allies struggle to meet production targets. Meanwhile, many publicly traded oil producers in the U.S. have increased production at a more moderate pace compared with previous price booms as investors pressure them to boost returns.
For 2023, the EIA expects production to rise by 940,000 barrels a day to average 12.95 million, compared to its previous forecast for a rise of 960,000 barrels a day.
Oil demand is expected to rise 800,000 barrels a day to 20.58 million versus an increase of 870,000.
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