• 尽管汽油价格创历史新高,但美国汽油需求依然强劲
• 截至5月16日,美国全国普通汽油平均价格为每加仑4.483美元
• 过去一周,美国汽油需求增加3.0%
据美国油价网5月16日报道,尽管汽油价格创下历史新高,但美国的汽油需求并未下降。过去两周,美国的每日汽油价格屡创新高。
根据美国汽车协会(AAA)发布的数据,截至5月16日,美国全国普通汽油平均价格为每加仑4.483美元,为历史最高。这比一周前的每加仑4.328美元,比一个月前的每加仑4.077美元,比去年同一天的每加仑3.044美元都出现大幅上涨。
在过去的几天里,美国汽油价格每天都在刷新纪录。国际原油价格高企,加上市场受到地缘政治冲突的影响,以及疫情后旅行需求的复苏,推动今年美国汽油价格走高。
不过,据油价统计软件GasBuddy石油分析主管帕特里克·德·哈恩分享的数据显示,过去一周(周日至周六),美国的汽油需求比前一周增加3.0%,比四周平均水平增加1.8%。哈恩5月15日在推特上说:“美国人显然没有因为高汽油价而太气馁。”
哈恩补充称,如果汽油价格接近每加仑6美元,美国汽油需求将遭到指数级破坏。
哈恩说:“很多人都在谈论我们看到的指数级需求破坏。在正常的无疫情环境下,考虑到通货膨胀,现在汽油价格每加仑可能会超过5美元,但考虑到当前的经济,5美元不会破坏这么多的需求。 我认为破坏汽油需求需要接近6美元。”
哈恩5月16日在一份报告中说:“由于需求继续上升,汽油和柴油库存继续下降,温度的升高,驾车者回到室外,阵亡将士纪念日周末的临近以及夏季驾驶季节的开始,美国汽油价格本周晚些时候可能会接近每加仑5美元。”
哈恩补充称:“尽管未来几天汽油价格上涨幅度可能开始放缓,但没有太多理由乐观地认为,我们将很快看到汽油价格暴跌。”
李峻 编译自 美国油价网
原文如下:
Highest Ever U.S. Gasoline Prices Aren’t Destroying Demand
· U.S. gasoline demand is resilient despite all-time high prices.
· As of May 16, the nationwide average price of a gallon of regular gasoline was $4.483.
· Gasoline demand in the United States increased by 3.0% in the past week,
U.S. gasoline demand is not going down despite record-high gasoline prices, which have been beating previous all-time highs on a daily basis in the past two weeks.
As of May 16, the nationwide average price of a gallon of regular gasoline was $4.483—the highest on record, according to AAA data. That’s up from $4.328 a week ago, $4.077 a month ago, and a massive jump from $3.044 per gallon on the same day in 2021.
Over the past days, U.S. gasoline prices have been setting records day after day. High international crude oil prices, with markets rattled by the war and a post-COVID recovery in travel demand, have been pushing U.S. gasoline prices higher this year.
Still, weekly gasoline demand in the United States increased by 3.0% in the past week (Sunday through Saturday) from the prior week and was up 1.8% compared to the four week average, according to data from fuel-savings app GasBuddy shared by its head of petroleum analysis Patrick De Haan.
“Americans clearly aren being too discouraged by high gasprices,” De Haan tweeted on Sunday.
The line for exponential demand destruction is if gasoline prices get closer to $6 per gallon, De Haan added.
“Much talked about the line where we see exponential demand destruction. In a normal non-Covid environment, it probably be north of $5 per gallon now with inflation, but given the current economy, $5 wouldn't destroy as much demand. I think we need to get closer to $6,” he said.
In a note on Monday, De Haan said, “Prices later this week could be closer to $5 per gallon than $4, as demand continues to edge higher and inventories of both gasoline and diesel continue to decline, temperatures warm and motorists get back outside and we near the Memorial Day weekend, the start of the summer driving season.”
“While the increases may start to slow in the days ahead as pump prices catch up to oil, there isn’t much reason to be optimistic that we’ll see a plunge any time soon,” he added.
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