据美国钻井网站2022年7月5日报道,美银全球研究在7月早些时候发给美国钻井网站Rigzone的一份最新报告中强调,欧佩克+联盟原油产量已接近最大产能。
美银全球研究在报告中称:“在6月30日举行的会议上,欧佩克+联盟维持了上个月宣布的8月份每日增加65万桶原油产量的配额,我们相信可能会实际完成其中三分之一。”
美国银行全球研究补充说:“5月份的数据显示,欧佩克+联盟的原油日产量比其每天4200万桶的集体产量配额少了近300万桶,这主要是由于尼日利亚和安哥拉等国的长期产量问题。”
在这份报告中,美银全球研究指出,下个月的欧佩克+联盟会议将是一个更重要的催化剂,使人们认识到欧佩克+联盟的备用产能正在减少,“而全球平衡继续受益于一次性战略石油储备释放,世界石油需求远没有引发疫情后的所有驱动力”。
欧佩克网站显示,6月30日,欧佩克和非欧佩克部长级会议通过视频形式举行,会议再次确认了8月份将原油日总产量提高64.8万桶的决定。
根据欧佩克网站6月30日公布的产量表,沙特阿拉伯和产量大国8月份的“所需产量”并列第一,为每天1100万桶。产量表显示,8月份需求产量第二高的是伊拉克,为460万桶/天,其次是阿联酋,为310万桶/天。
在第29届欧佩克+联盟会议上,该组织提出了9月份的总体产量调整计划,并对7月和8月平均日增的43.2万桶的产量进行了重新分配。
欧佩克+联盟的下一次会议目前定在8月3日举行。
李峻 编译自 美国钻井网站
原文如下:
OPEC+ Close to Max Capacity
OPEC+ is close to maximum capacity, BofA Global Research highlighted in one of its latest reports, which was sent to Rigzone earlier this month.
“At its meeting … [on June 30], OPEC+ maintained its 650,000 barrel per day quota increase for August as announced last month - of which we believe perhaps a third will actually be fulfilled,” BofA Global Research stated in the report.
“Data for May shows OPEC+ pumped nearly three million barrels per day less than its collective production quota of ~42 million barrels per day - due mainly to falling production in bigger producer as well as chronic output problems in e.g. Nigeria and Angola,” BofA Global Research added.
In the report, BofA Global Research noted that next month’s OPEC+ meeting will be a more important catalyst for the realization that spare capacity is running thin “while global balances continue to benefit from one-off reserve releases and world oil demand is far from firing on all post-Covid cylinders”.
The 30th, and most recent, OPEC and non-OPEC ministerial meeting on June 30 was held via videoconference and reconfirmed the decision to adjust monthly overall production up by 648,000 barrels per day in August, OPEC’s website shows.
According to a production table posted on OPEC’s website on June 30, Saudi Arabia and bigger producer have the joint top “required production” figure for August at 11 million barrels per day. The second highest required production figure for August is held by Iraq at 4.6 million barrels per day, followed by the UAE with 3.1 million barrels per day, the production table outlines.
At the 29th OPEC+ meeting, the group advanced a planned overall production adjustment for September and redistributed the 0.432 million barrel per day production increase over the months of July and August equally, OPEC outlined in a statement posted on its website last month.
OPEC+’s next meeting is currently scheduled to take place on August 3.
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