据美国钻井网站6月29日报道,“在每桶100美元到109.99美元之间。”在美国达拉斯联邦储备银行最新举行的第二季度能源调查中,134家石油和天然气公司的高管对西得克萨斯中质原油(WTI)的价格到今年年底时的预测中,这是最受欢迎的回答。
只有不到30%的参与者选择了这个回答,第二受欢迎的回答是每桶120美元到129.99美元。达拉斯联邦储备银行第二季度能源调查结果显示,超过10%的参与者预计WTI原油价格在今年年底将跌至每桶90美元以下,略低于10%的参与者预计WTI原油价格在今年年底将触及每桶140美元或更高。
达拉斯联邦储备银行能源调查强调,第二季度能源调查的均值触及每桶107.93美元,低预估为每桶65美元,高预估为每桶160美元。调查期间,WTI原油的价格为每桶119.56美元。
据达拉斯联邦储备银行能源调查结果显示,在第一季度调查中,对年末WTI油价的平均预测为每桶93.26美元,最低预测为每桶50美元,最高预测为每桶200美元。第一季度调查时的WTI原油价格为每桶103.07美元。
美国能源信息署6月7日发布的最新短期能源展望(STEO)报告显示,今年WTI原油现货价格平均为每桶102.47美元。据STEO预测,今年第四季度WTI原油现货价格将为每桶93美元。
根据日前发给美国钻井网站的一份报告,惠誉解决方案国家风险与行业研究公司认为,今年WTI原油的平均价格为每桶97美元。
截至发稿时,WTI原油的交易价格为每桶112.37美元。今年年初,这种大宗商品价格略高于每桶70美元左右的关口,今年以来曾多次报收于每桶120美元关口以上。
李峻 编译自 美国钻井网站
原文如下:
Where Will WTI Oil Price be at End-2022?
Between $100 and $109.99 per barrel.
That was the most popular response by executives from 134 oil and gas firms when asked, as part of the latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey, where they expected the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price to be at the end of 2022.
Just under 30 percent of the participants chose the response, with the second most popular response being between $120.00 and $129.99 per barrel. Over 10 percent of participants see WTI coming in at under $90 per barrel at the end of the year and just under 10 percent see the commodity hitting $140 or more at the end of 2022, the second quarter (2Q) Dallas Fed Energy Survey showed.
The survey average for 2Q hit $107.93 per barrel, with a low forecast of $65 per barrel and a high forecast of $160 per barrel, the Dallas Fed Energy Survey highlighted. The WTI price during the survey was shown to be $119.56.
In its first quarter survey, the average WTI price prediction for the year-end WTI oil price was $93.26 per barrel, with a low forecast of $50 per barrel and a high forecast of $200 per barrel, the latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey pointed out. The WTI price during this survey was shown to be $103.07 per barrel.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) latest short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released June 7, sees the WTI spot price averaging $102.47 per barrel this year. According to the STEO, the WTI spot price will average $93 per barrel in the fourth quarter of 2022.
Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research sees the WTI price averaging $97 per barrel this year, according to a report sent to Rigzone last Friday.
At the time of writing, WTI is trading at $112.37 per barrel. The commodity started the year just above the mid-$70 mark and has since gone on to close above the $120 mark on several occasions this year.
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