据今日石油网2022年8月2日奥斯陆报道，总部位于奥斯陆的挪威著名独立能源研究和商业情报公司雷斯塔能源公司（Rystad）8月2日在奥斯陆表示，随着埃克森美孚公司及其合作伙伴在圭亚那快速推进油气勘探和开发项目，到2035年前，圭亚那将跻身全球五大顶级海上产油国之列。
在最近发表的分析报告中，Rystad表示，圭亚那已经证明了其成为全球强劲竞争者的潜力，自2015年以来，圭亚那以112亿桶油当量的新发现油气储量在全球大多数海上发现的排行榜上高居榜首，占全球已发现新资源的18%，占全球已发现石油储量的32%。
Rystad表示，其中新发现石油储量占了96亿桶，远远超过了排在第二位的美国，后者只有28亿桶。Rystad指出，圭亚那斯塔布鲁克区块占了所有这些新油气发现，但最近在其他地区的发现显示了增长潜力。
Rystad表示，圭亚那目前预计该国的石油日产量在2035年前将达到170万桶，这还不包括尚未发现的新石油储量，这将使圭亚那成为全球最大的海上石油生产国名单上的第4位。按照这个速度，圭亚那超越了美国、墨西哥和挪威。
今年早些时候，Rystad拉丁美洲分析师Sofia Forestieri表示，圭亚那有望成为世界第二大深水石油生产国。Rystad预计届时唯一能超过圭亚那的深水石油生产国是巴西，巴西届时的石油日产量将接近500万桶。
圭亚那的石油开采期将比许多其他深水石油生产国的石油开采期更长，这主要取决于两个因素——质量和生产成本。
到2027年前，埃克森美孚公司在圭亚那将拥有120万桶/天的石油生产能力，并预计在未来10年内，圭亚那近海可能有多达10艘浮式产油、储油和卸油（FPSO）船投产。
埃克森美孚公司旗下的子公司埃索勘探与生产圭亚那有限公司（EEPGL）也计划在未来六年内钻取60口勘探井，这个钻井计划目前正在等待监管部门的批准。
李峻 编译自 今日石油网
原文如下：
Guyana will be among the top five elite global offshore producers by 2035 – Rystad Energy
With ExxonMobil and partners fast-tracking exploration and development projects in Guyana, the country is set to rank in the top five-list of elite global producers by 2035. This is according to Rystad Energy, an independent energy research and business intelligence company headquartered in Norway.
In its recent analysis, Rystad said Guyana was already proving its potential to be a fierce global competitor as it emerged at the top of the leaderboard for most offshore discoveries since 2015 with 11.2 billion barrels of oil equivalent, amounting to 18% of discovered resources and 32% of discovered oil.
Of that total, Rystad Energy said a whopping 9.6 billion barrels consist of oil, far outpacing the United States in second place, with a comparatively small 2.8 billion barrels. It notes that the Stabroek block accounts for all of these finds, but recent discoveries in other areas show the potential for growth elsewhere.
The Norwegian group said Guyana is now forecast to produce 1.7 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil by 2035 – not accounting for as-yet undiscovered volumes – propelling the country to the fourth position on the list of the largest global offshore oil producers. At that pace, the country leapfrogs the US, Mexico and Norway.
Earlier this year, Rystad Energy’s Latin America analyst, Sofia Forestieri, said that Guyana was on track to become the second largest deepwater producer in the world. The only deepwater producer Rystad Energy expects to be above Guyana by then is Brazil, that will be producing close to 5 million barrels of oil per day.
And Guyana’s oil is set to outlast that of many other deepwater producers because of two main factors – quality and cost to produce.
Exxon will have the capacity to produce 1.2 million bpd by 2027 and sees potential for up to 10 floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) vessels offshore Guyana this decade.
ExxonMobil’s subsidiary, Esso Exploration and Production Guyana Limited (EEPGL) also plans to drill 60 exploration wells over the next six years, pending regulatory approvals.
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